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Standard Poors

In the World, World economy 23rd October 2020

The Risk Of Huge Increase In Spending And Public Debt Due To Covid-19 Will Lead To More Ratings Downgrades

S&P has warned of the possibility of a second wave of sovereign credit rating downgrades around the world. So far in 2020, the firm has downgraded ratings or outlook for 60 countries. The problem lies in the effects of COVID-19 that be will dragged on over the next few years. In fact, some countries will add 15-20 GDP points to their public debt, which otherwise would have taken four or five years to accumulate. In addition, public spending will continue to be above normal for a period that can extend 3-5 years.

IMF outlook

In the World, World economy 16th October 2020

Global Public Debt Will Reach 100% Of GDP For The First Time

The world public deficit in 2020 stands at 12.7% of GDP, compared to its forecast of 3.9% in April, and gross public debt could increase  to 100% of global GDP, says the IMF. Thus, it supports more spending and outlines scenarios in which some countries will be able to stabilize their debt, by the middle of this decade, without tax increases or budget cuts. Specifically, its estimates suggest that a public infrastructure investment of 1% of GDP could boost production by 2.7%, creating between 20 and 33 M jobs. 

euro spain

Spanish economy 18th September 2020

The Public Debt Hits A New Record High In Spain And Is Close To 104% Of GDP

The total debt of the public administrations rose by 8.2% in July in comparison with the same month of the previous year, as a consequence of the greater expenditure derived from the coronavirus crisis. This increase adds up to almost €100 billion more in the last year, according to the data published on Thursday by the Bank of Spain.

Puerta del Sol Square, Madrid, Spain

Spanish economy 8th September 2020

Spain’s Full Recovery Will Come In 2023

Intermoney | There are important reasons for maintaining a prudent attitude with regard to the Spanish economy, situating its full recovery in the year 2023. This would mean that we would lose more than a decade of the fledgling 21st century. On the other hand, there are also reasons to hope the recovery will eventually take shape and not be too far off. These include the encouraging development of the COVID-19 vaccines, the decisive response from the ECB and the EU, and a lesser impact of the crisis than feared on large European partners and customers.

The challenge for Spanish banks in 2019: improve profit margins, still at historic lows

Spanish economy 20th May 2020

Public Debt Will Be A Headache For The Spanish Economy: It Is Already Close To 100%

According to data released yesterday by the Bank of Spain, overall government debt reached 1.224, 243 trillion euros in March. It increased by 22.473 billion euros (+1.9%) from February due to the Covid-19 crisis. So public debt is now at an all-time high and equivalent to 98.3% of 2019 GDP. All organisations highlight in their forecasts that public debt will rise above 100% and set new historical records.

ursula pedro

European politics 27th February 2020

The EC Asks Spain Government For Prudence With Labour Reform Review

The European Commission (EC) urged the Spanish government to “carefully” evaluate the potential impact of any modifications to the 2012 labour reform and to “preserve “the most positive aspects of it, which “supported solid job creation” during the recovery phase. Citing a recent study from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), it states that “the labour reforms adopted in 2012-13 in response to the crisis have played an important role in promoting a rich recovery in employment which began in 2014.”

New episodes of tension originating in Italy could affect other peripheral countries

In Europe, Spanish economy 4th July 2018

Is Spain Better Than Italy?

Now “the waters appear to have calmed” in Italy, analysts at Intermoney, however, believe we will see more episodes of tension originating in Italy. The key moment is likely to come at the end of the summer or in the autumn. This situation should be seen as a scenario for tension rather than rupture, although contagion to other peripheral economies could be possible.