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real estate sector

Property sector

Companies, Ibex, Spanish economy 27th November 2022

Leverage remains key for property sector; Colonial (EW, T.P. from 7,5 to 6,2 euros/share);Merlin (OW, T.P. from 11 to 10 euros/share)

MS | Bart Gysens (analyst) has this Thursday published a report reviewing his preferences within the European property market, positioning himself for a transition from an environment of rising rates to one of recession. Leverage is still the determining factor which the team uses to see where the value is and is not. But as we enter 2023, where the macros see a potential recession, thus driving a greater importance…

sanchez

Spanish economy, Spanish Politics 20th October 2022

Sánchez And His Disorderly Housing Policy

Fernando González Urbaneja | Disordered thinking is one of the characteristics of the Prime Minister. It is not necessarily a mistake, since this disorder makes it easier for him to adapt to reality, to change his criteria in accordance with the Marxian principle that these are my principles but if I have to change them…. The liberality with which Sánchez handles facts, data and statistics is astonishing. For example, he…

Spain housing

Spanish economy 6th October 2022

Property prices…collateral damage: declines of 3% in 2023e and 2% in 2024e

Bankinter | Still nobody, or almost nobody, is talking about the consequences for the property sector of the new context we are facing. But it would be a good idea to do start doing just that. After a 2022 where housing prices are still going up (an estimated +5%), there should be a phase of adjustment. We are forecasting falls of 3% in 2023e and 2% in 2024e (vs +1%…

Realresidentialpropertyprices 1

European economy, Relevant News Item 8th September 2022

Real Estate Bubble? Not In Spain

According to a report by the Bank for International Settlements, global real house prices increased by 4.6% year on year in aggregate in the first quarter of 2022. This strong growth in real terms reflected a surge (+11.2%) in nominal terms – the first double-digit one recorded since the eve of the Great Financial Crisis – partly offset by the acceleration in consumer price indices. Real house price developments continued…

housing overvalued

Spanish economy 21st July 2022

Spain Breaks Historic Record For Real Estate Investment, With 9.87 Billion Euros In The First Half Of The Year

Real estate investment in the first six months of the year in Spain amounted to 9,870 million euros, 80% more than in the same period last year, and the first half closed with the best data since historical records started, according to CBRE data collected by Europa Press. The retail sector (shops) led investment in this period, with a total volume traded in excess of 2,900 million euros, 8 times higher…

housing sales

Relevant News Item 29th March 2022

The Government Limits Rent Rises To 2% Until 30 June

Amongst the measures to be approved today by the Council of Ministers, Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has included limiting rent rises to 2%. This is against a backdrop of when, in February for example, the CPI rose by 7.6%, according to the INE. This will be a temporary measure, in principle in force until June, and will differentiate between large and small landlords. If the landlord is a “large landlord”…

se alquila

Spanish economy 31st January 2022

Spain Will Provide 100,000 Rental Housing Units From The Bad Bank, Financial Entities And Investment Funds

Intermoney | The State plans to facilitate the promotion of 100,000 affordable rental housing units, half of which will come from Sareb, the Spanish bad bank created in 2012, other financial entities and investment funds, according to the newspaper El Economista. Secretary of State for Housing, David Lucas, said this during a real estate event. On the one hand, the Administration is in negotiations with the funds for them to…

real estate investment trusts in China

World economy 30th January 2022

China’s Real Estate Sector: Size Does Matter

Luís Pinheiro de Matos (CaixaBank Research) | China’s real estate sector is often described as «the most important sector in the world» because of the importance it has amassed in recent decades in the Asian giant’s growth model. We analyse how significant a role it plays in the Chinese economy and the risks of the Evergrande effect.

spain housing construction 1

Spanish economy 29th December 2021

Spain Will Close 2021 With A Record Number Of Homes Sold: 640,000

According to the newspaper “El Español”, the Spanish real estate market could close 2021 with 640,000 home sales, of which 75,000 units would come from the new construction market, and 565,000 units from the second-hand market, according to Colliers. Over 30% more than in 2020 and 9% more than in 2019. “2021 will be the year with the most sales in the last decade,” says Ferran Font, director of research…