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World economy 26th January 2016

Global Stock Markets Are Telling Us Something When They Begin To Tremble

Market commentators tell us that the price of Brent crude is dropping and indices like the S&P 500 and the Ibex 35 are falling. The reverse should be the case. Have we not been told that Spain has benefited from the decline in raw material prices?  This cuts import prices, increases export margins, reduces pressure on wages etc. But it’s not the case. Oil prices have been tumbling for the last year, and whenever these begin start to tremble so do the stock markets.

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World economy 25th January 2016

Markets Are Addicted To Stimuli

The collapse of the global stockmarkets, with European bourses falling 10 percent or more over the past month, is a cry for help to the central banks to ‘do something’, namely provide more stimulus to the economy. One of these voices is Ray Dalio, founder of the world’s biggest hedge fund Bridgewater, who said that the Federal Reserve needs to start printing money again to boost markets.

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World economy 15th January 2016

China: The Inevitable Failure Of A Fixed Exchange Rate

World stock markets’ current weakness reflects concerns about a serious downturn in China’s economy. The fall in global oil prices is the result of the decline in Chinese demand. The doubt is whether this fall will be a soft one or whether the government will lose control and will be unable to avoid a severe financial crisis

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World economy 17th December 2015

Analysts bet on European bourses in 2016

Most analysts think that the European stock markets, and particularly the Spanish bourse, have taken an excessive beating over the last few sessions. Now fund managers are recommending to take advantage of the recent correction to buy into these markets. In their opinion, the recovery in activity in the euro area will be accompanied by an improvement in share prices in the coming months.

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In Europe 4th December 2015

Draghi Disappoints Markets With His “Mini” QE2

Expectations for Draghi’s second QE programme were running so high that, in the end, he disappointed the markets. Investors had bet on more aggressive stimuli, so the European stock exchanges tumbled over 3% at the close (having been in positive territory mid-morning). The euro jumped to over 1,09 dollars (its biggest rise since March) and European debt registered its largest increase so far this year.