Bankinter | OPEC cut its estimate for global oil demand. It justified its decision on the impact on the economy of tariffs and the information received in Q1. They estimate that demand will increase by 1.3 mbd in 2025 and 1.28 mbd in 2026, in both cases a reduction of 0.150 mbd compared to the previous estimate. This increase represents about 1.2% of global supply each year. In parallel, it…
Alphavalue / Divacons | The Spanish telecommunications company has awarded ZTE, the Chinese telecommunications network manufacturer, a project to build a fibre optic line in the Basque Country, connecting Sopelana (Biscay), where transatlantic submarine cables arrive, with the French border in Irún. The new infrastructure will provide an alternative or diversified route between northern Spain and France. This deployment will allow technology companies, which provide Internet services, data centres, streaming…
Deutsche Bank | Between 1975 and 2019, the number of annual global travellers nearly doubled every 15 years. The Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 was the biggest crisis the industry had ever faced, reducing tourist numbers to almost a quarter of 2019’s record level of 1.46 billion. However, in 2024, the tourism sector almost fully recovered, reaching 1.45 billion travellers (only 1% less than in 2019), and returning to its growth…
Link Securities | Between January and March, the energy company has beaten its historical figures for electricity distributed through its networks in Q1 2025, with 62,577 GWh, 1.7% more than in the same period of 2024, as reported by the company to the National Securities Market Commission (CNMV). This good operational performance of the networks business is based on the increase in electricity demand in all the areas where the…
Norbolsa | German economic institutes last week downgraded growth expectations for the German economy to 0.1% in 2025 from 0.8% expected in September, when considering Trump’s tariffs on steel, aluminium and cars. The tariffs announced on April 2, but suspended on Wednesday, could further drain the German economy and lead to a third consecutive year of contraction, the institutes said, although they did not include them in their economic projections….
FEDEA, the Foundation for Applied Economics Studies, published a new document yesterday in which its director, Angel de la Fuente, points out that “The improvement recorded between 2019 and 2023 or 2024 is considerably smaller in the case of effective unemployment than in registered unemployment. Comparing December 2024 with December 2019, for example, registered unemployment has decreased by just over 600,000 people, while effective unemployment has only decreased by 72,000.”…
Repsol is now producing electricity at Antofagasta Phase 1, its largest wind farm to date and one of the largest in Chile. Located in the Taltal commune, in the Antofagasta region, it has a total installed capacity of 364 MW. Construction of Phase 2, with a capacity of 450 MW, will begin shortly, the energy company reports. With an investment of nearly €400 million, Antofagasta Phase 1, which will become…
Bankinter | Standard & Poor’s revises Italy’s rating upwards to BBB+ from BBB, stable outlook. The agency highlights the improvement in public finances and estimates a progressive reduction of the deficit in the coming years. Specifically, it anticipates that it will stand at 3.4% this year (compared to 7.2% in 2023) and that it will fall below 3.0% in 2027. It also anticipates a gradual improvement in economic growth. It…
Deutsche Bank | The most pessimistic fears have been mitigated, but US tariffs have created great uncertainty about steel demand, given the complexity of breaking down the impact on end markets. In our new baseline scenario we reflect this situation (although without reaching a full-blown recession) and we cut our assumptions about demand and prices in the sector, reducing our EBITDA forecasts for 2026 by 7% on average. We also…
Bankinter| The Trade Balance shows an increase in the surplus in March to $102.64 billion from $31.72 billion previously and $75.15 billion estimated. This evolution is due to the acceleration of Exports (up 12.4% from -3.0% previously and +4.6% estimated) and the contraction of Imports (down 4.3% from +1.5% previously and -2.1% previously). Analysis team opinion: More solid data than estimated. However, it is a one-off improvement. Uncertainty over the…