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IAG

Over 40,000 flights suspended as airline sector reviews the whole summer; bad news for IAG

Intermoney | The lack of personnel and strikes are leading to the suspension of over 40,000 operations out of those forecast for Europe over the summer months (25,000 alone between British Airways, Easyjet and Lufthansa). They are also provoking innumerable delays and problems with luggage. The fast increase in demand has been mixed with both the airlines and the airports’ difficulties’ in recovering the volume of their workforces which decreased…


Madrid Bourse

The Ibex Medium Caps is coping better with the pressure in Q2’22

Renta 4 | During Q2’22 the stock market indices have had to deal with the consequences of the war in Ukraine, the environment of high inflation, the uptick in IRRs and downward revisions to economic growth. In this context, the IBEX Medium Cap (-1.5% in Q2’22) has offered a relatively better performance out of the three benchmark indices (-4.1% of the IBEX-35 and -6.1% of IBEX Small Caps). Our Selection…


Acciona

Acciona wins contract to build a 15km ring road in Australia with an overall budget of around €700 M

Intermoney | Acciona (Buy, Target Price 210 euros/share) continues to grow in the public works sector in Australia. It has been chosen as one of the contractors to build a 15km ring road in Queensland. The overall budget for the project is around 1 billion Australian dollars (some 700 million euros). Along with a local firm, Acciona has won, provisionally, one of the lots awarded with a investment budget of…


BBVA

BBVA, top pick in Spanish banking sector for the quarter on possible hike in Mexico guidance

Morgan Stanley | A more positive tone or guidance concerning NII should continue providing support for the Spanish banks. We recall that last week we raised our estimates for NII by an average 5% after incorporating 100 bp of rate hikes vs a previous 50 bp. This should offset the impact of an average 15 bp in CET1 due to the rise in bond yields. Asset quality should remain stable. BBVA…


NATO

The NATO Summit: Spain Leads The Way In Organising Congresses

Fernando González Urbaneja | The NATO summit in Madrid has been a success in all respects, except for the recalcitrant naysayers, who have hardly been noticed. The rest of those involved leave the summit with the feeling of a job well done. In terms of content, in terms of the relevant “strategic definition” for the future of the organisation and its enlargement, the results are in line with the best…


Ferrovial-Toronto

Exposure to the US, sensitivity to inflation and protection against the upticks in IRRs:Overweight Ferrovial (T.P. 34 eur/share)

Morgan Stanley | After it being the principal motive for criticism from investors, the recent recovery in traffic on the 407-ETR (-19% vs 2019 en Q2’22; -34% vs 2019 in Q1’22) is driving Ferrovial’s momentum in the short-term. And it also provides support for a return to dividend payments mid-July 2022. In Heathrow, increased traffic, more inflation-linked in the short-term and lower CAPEX more than offset cost expectations. Meanwhile, in the…


No Picture

Grifols could be negotiating €2 B capital hike; debt rose to 5.4x NFD/Ebitda end-2021

Bankinter | Grifols could be negotiating a 2 billion euros capital hike (c. 18% of its current capitalisation) with various funds. The objective is to cut its debt which is equivalent to 6.9x EBITDA, according to a daily newspaper. Grifols’ share price took a hit this morning on the IBEX 35, falling as much as 13%. Bankinter analyst team’s view: Negative news. If this rumour is correct, the capital increase…


Indra Tecnocom

Silvia Iranzo’s resignation leaves Indra with just two independent board members

Renta 4 | Silvia Iranzo tendered her resignation after the cessation of 5 independent Board Members at the AGM held last Thursday. There are now just two independent Board Members, Ignacio Martín and Francisco Javier García Sanz, who could resign very soon. Stock Market Regulator (CNMV) chairman, Rodrigo Buenaventure, described the events at the AGM as “striking and worrying”. He added that the regulator will analyse what took place “rigorously and…


Stock markets

Downward revisions to profits remain

A&G | The Q1 results season was solid on both sides of the Atlantic. And up to now EPS for 2022 has been revised 3% upwards by S&P500 and 11% by the STOXX 600. The weighting of the raw material sectors, particularly in Europe, helped to drive EPS estimates (ex EPS estimates for raw materials they rose only 2% YTD in Europe). We are beginnning to see signs of a…


CaixaBank

Risk in estimating banking sector profits is on the rise: Caixabank in top picks

Morgan Stanley | We run over the main themes which are affecting the banking sector at the moment. In terms of balance sheets, the sector has on average 420 bp of excess capital, lending support to dividends. The sector in Europe has greater cash yield (div + buybacks). Exposure to Russia has been decreasing proactively, on average 12% down vs figures pre-Q1 2022. Net interest income has the support of…