As Peter Kinsella, UBP’s global FX strategist highlights, the US dollar bull market has likely run its course as we enter 2020. Indeed, since 1995, long-cycle inflections in the US dollar exchange range have coincided with long-cycle under/outperformance of US equities relative to non- US equities.
BOAML | For a while, we’ve been asked by clients how “big tech” might compete with the European banks. This question now seems to need an answer. We think the European banks sector faces plenty of challenges, but a head-on challenge from the likes of Amazon and Google etc aren’t among them, in our view.
Esty Dwek (Natixis AM) | Recent data has continued to point to a slowdown in global growth, but at a softer pace. We believe that this slower growth is unlikely to translate into a deeper downturn for the time being thanks to accommodative central banks, a robust global consumer and easing trade tensions.
The broadband market continues to grow in Spain: 31% penetration in Spain vs. 42% on average in other European countries, analysts at Morgan Stanley point out.
The operation needs 50% support from BME’s capital. However, it also depends on the relevant authorizations. The purchase depends, in addition to the green light of the Spanish Competition Authorities, the approval of the Spanish market regulator CNMV.
The firm reported revenues up 13% and EBITDA up 13% in first nine months of 2019.
Yves Bonzon (Julius Baer) | One of the unintended consequences of zero / negative interest rates is the fuelling of a broad-based start-up / venture capital (VC) boom. This carries the seeds of a huge capital misallocation. Investors are relentlessly funding non-profitable companies on the hope of surfing the next disruptive business model. Yet, venture capital is a game of capital scarcity not of capital abundance.
Banc Sabadell | IAG’s Capital Markets Day focused on cash generation. The reduction of some operational objectives (AKO’s 2020/23 growth from + 6% to + 3.4% per year; annual BPA growth from + 12% to + 10%), is in line with market forecasts and BS (e) .
Banca March | The Spanish utility prepares its launching in Australia with a portfolio of renewable projects for 650 MW in the states of Queensland and South Australia, with an estimated market investment of approx. € 500M.
Olivier de Berranger (La Financière de l’Échiquier) |”Let’s have fun”. Have the words of President Charles de Gaulle been prophetic? He was against the United Kingdom’s entry into the Common Market in 1963… More than 50 years later, although the tribulations of Brexit may cause amusement or disappointment, the truth is that they have been poisoning investors’ lives for more than three years, by separating them from British stocks. However, the outcome of this endless soap opera could well change the situation.