European economy

inflacion precios 1

ECB’s expectations for average Eurozone inflation over next 12 months rise in April to 3.1% from 2.9% in March

Link Securities | According to the monthly report published by the ECB, average inflation expectations in the Eurozone for the next 12 months rose in April for the second consecutive month to 3.1% and from 2.9% in March, standing at its highest level since February 2024. Inflation expectations for the next three years remained unchanged in April at 2.5%, while inflation expectations for the next five years stood at 2.1%…



Caixabank

Caixabank considering takeover bid for Portuguese Novo Banco

Link Securities | Caixabank (CABK) is considering a takeover bid for Portuguese bank Novo Banco. There are other interested entities, such as the French group BPCE and the Portuguese Caixa Geral de Depósitos, as reported on Friday by elEconomista. Novo Banco was created in August 2014 after the Bank of Portugal intervened to rescue Banco Espírito Santo (BES), which at the time was one of the country’s largest and most…


caf cartel fachada

CAF to invest €50m in French factories over next 5 years to triple capacity in country

Renta 4 | CAF has announced its intention to invest in France. Specifically, the company will invest €50 million in its factories in France over the next five years with the aim of tripling its capacity in the country. With this investment, CAF will reinforce its presence in the French market through its two plants in Reichshoffen and Bagneres-de-Bigorre. Assessment: Positive news as it fits within the company’s organic strategy…


utilities

Review of energy demand model, prices and GDP evolution: Equalweight on Iberdrola, Naturgy, Solaria, Acciona and Redeia; Underweight on Endesa and Enagas

Morgan Stanley: The analyst team provides an overview of its model for energy demand, prices and GDP evolution. Gas and power curves have normalised in the short term, and imply prices aligned with the team’s estimates. They see less downside risk in these prices and, therefore, less risk of downward EPS revisions, especially attractive for companies trading at low multiples. On the other hand, Rob Pulleyn reiterates the data centre…


construccionCM

Eurozone construction output falls by 1.1% year-on-year in March compared to -0.6% in February

Link Securities | Eurostat reported that Eurozone construction output, in seasonally adjusted data, rose 0.1% in March from February. In the month under review, output increased by 0.9% in building construction; by 4.1% in civil engineering construction; and by 0.1% in specialised construction activities. On a year-on-year basis, construction output decreased by 1.1% in March in the Eurozone (-0.6% in February). By sector of activity and at a year-on-year rate,…


IPC varios Eurozona.

Eurozone final CPI confirms 2.2% in April and core rate 2.7% due to 4% rebound in services

CdM| The year-on-year inflation rate in the Eurozone remained stable in April at 2.2%, while in the European Union as a whole the rate moderated by one tenth of a percentage point compared to March, to 2.4% year-on-year, according to the second reading published on Monday by Eurostat and reported by Europa Press. According to data from the statistical office for the Eurozone, in April the price of energy recorded…


Alemania Exportaciones

Eurozone posts €62-billion suplus in 1Q25 compared to €55 billion in 1Q24, exports and imports both up

Link Securities | Eurostat reports that, according to its first estimate of the data, the Eurozone’s trade surplus stood at €36.8 billion in March compared to €22.8 billion in March 2024. In March, exports of goods from the Eurozone to the rest of the world amounted to €279.8 billion, an increase of 13.6% year-on-year. On the other hand, imports from the rest of the world amounted to €243.0 billion, an…


Alemania Eurozona

Economic sentiment in Germany improves again, perception of Europe stands at 11.6 points

CdM | Economic sentiment has improved again in Germany. In the May survey, the ZEW indicator shows that, at 25.2 points, it is 39.2 points higher than in the previous month, thus clearly in positive territory. ‘With the arrival of the new government, some progress in the tariff disputes and a stabilising inflation rate, optimism has increased.’ This is according to ZEW President Professor Achim Wambach, who adds that ‘expectations…


Airbus nuevo

Airbus production totals 217 units through April, year-to-date increase of 7%, in line with guidance for full year

Morgan Stanley | Although April deliveries (56) represent a slowdown in annual delivery growth (192, down 5%), if we take into account the 25 aircraft that management pointed out at the AGM in mid-April, production totals 217 units, representing 7% growth year-on-year and in line with guidance for the full year. Regarding tariffs, management’s message that the current guidance may already be reflecting the direct impact of tariffs (i.e., returning…