In Europe




merkeldraghi editTC

ECB must “not hold anything back” despite Germany’s pressure

The markets are seemingly focusing on next week ECB’s meeting rather than on geopolitical events. Investors expect they will take new measures on expansionary monetary policy. Yesterday, ECB’s vice president Vitor Constancio, insisted again that the central bank will analyse those if needed to reach the inflation target of 2%.



BCE grande

Memo To The ECB: The Target Is The Most Powerful Instrument Of All

James Alexander via Historinhas | You have to feel for ECB President Draghi sometimes. He’s trying to steer a huge and dysfunctional ship. His heart is in the right place, but he has far too much faith in the interest rate and credit channel “instruments” for the management of monetary policy. They have prevented further recessions and do seem to have the Euro area on the right track, but it is painfully slow and risky .


sweden households

Sweden: Household Leverage,Krona Damage?

Household debt another reason to prefer SEK shorts In September we argued that the krona should weaken due to strong and persistent disinflationary pressures imported from abroad. Another factor that probably does not get the attention it deserves is the leverage of Swedis  households. In the medium to long term, we think this will keep the krona under pressure. The Riksbank will have to tread carefully, even in a strong…



BEI

Eurozone Recovery: The ECB, EIB And The Large Companies’ Role

The market has already discounted that the ECB will announce new stimulus measures on December 3rd, modifying the current debt purchasing programme. But monetary policy only goes so far, and apart from the central bank’s measures, the Eurozone needs more public and private investment to recover its growth potential.