Juan Pedro Marín Arrese | The markets have been battering the UK gilts since Rachel Reeves delivered a disappointing budget in October. A sizeable increase in taxes but proving unable to fill the gap inherited from the last Conservative government did not seem like the best recipe to address the looming stagflation. Fears that ongoing deterioration might force the Chancellor to tap into taxpayers’ money again in a couple of…
Link Securities | Virgin Group, Richard Branson’s group, is analysing models from Talgo and three other companies (Alstom, Siemens and Hitachi) to incorporate a dozen trains to start operating on the cross-Channel rail link, the Eurotunnel, Expansión newspaper reports today. The British company is leading a project that foresees an investment of €1.2 billion. The British regulator has yet to decide how much space there is for new operators. Virgin…
Banc Sabadell: Airbus published last week that it delivered 123 aircraft during the month of December (versus 84 in November ’24 and 112 in December ’23), bringing total deliveries in 2024 to 766 (versus 735 in 2023, up 4%), practically meeting the target of delivering 770 aircraft this year (the company considers plus/minus 20 aircraft to be within the guidance range). In addition, a total of 99 new orders and…
Norbolsa | Cellnex (CLNX) has hired JP Morgan as an advisor to explore the potential sale of its stake in the telecommunications group’s subsidiary in Switzerland. It currently holds a 72% stake which, according to press reports, could have a market value of around €1.1 billion. This would imply valuing 100% of the subsidiary at €1.5 billion. This divestment would be the fourth in a row after sales in Austria,…
CdM | Industrial producer prices rose by 1.6% in the euro area and by 1.7% across the European Union (EU) in November compared with the previous month, according to first estimates from Eurostat, the EU’s statistical office. Compared with November 2023, industrial producer prices declined by 1.2 per cent in the euro area and 1.1 per cent in the EU. In the monthly comparison, in the euro area, industrial producer…
Morgan Stanley: Real estate transactions recorded in Paris office space were down 9% and in Centre West Paris 8%, implying that the pace of decline is moderating. However, volumes remain low even though they have recovered from lows. On the other hand, vacancies continue to rise and available supply increased in all regions in the quarter. Rental growth was up 6% year-on-year, sustained over previous levels. While remaining positive on…
Link Securities | IAG (IAG) announced on Tuesday separate invitations to holders of its (i) bonds in the aggregate nominal amount of €500,000,000, issued at 1.50 per cent and maturing in 2027 (the 2027 Bonds) and (ii) bonds in the aggregate nominal amount of €700,000,000, issued at 3.75 per cent. and maturing in 2029 (the 2029 Bonds) offering the purchase of the Bonds by IAG in exchange for a cash…
Bankinter: Yesterday Germany’s CPI rebounded more than expected in December to 2.6%. Inflation came in at 2.6% year-on-year from 2.2%, when a more modest rebound to 2.4% was expected. Team’s view: Disappointing inflation data in December as it showed a stronger than expected rebound. However, we expect CPI to moderate in the coming months in a context of weak economic activity, lower energy prices and more contained wage increases. France’s…
Morgan Stanley | According to the latest Cirium data, Airbus delivered 114 aircraft in December (up 36% month-on-month), bringing total 2024 deliveries to 757 (versus 770 guidance and 750 consensus estimates) and reflecting a clear improvement in execution and operational visibility heading into year-end. Therefore, with 2024 delivery risks already behind us, Ross Law (analyst) expects the market to shift its focus to 2025 and beyond. In fact, he believes…
Link Securities | The ECB reported yesterday that the monetary aggregate M3 rebounded 3.8% year-on-year in November, accelerating the pace of growth from 3.4% in the previous month and exceeding the 3.5% increase expected by FactSet consensus analysts. The ECB also reported that bank lending to households in the Eurozone rose 0.9% year-on-year in November, accelerating from 0.8% in the previous month. November’s is the fastest pace of growth in…