As European financial crisis enters a critical stage, should the ECB have the power to supervise all euro zone banks as well as those in non-euro zone countries that choose to become part of a single mechanism or shall it focus on monitoring only the big, systemic banks instead? European commissioner for economic and monetary affairs Olli Rehn believes in the first approach; German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble has rejected…
By Tania Suárez, Madrid | Three resignations are likely to take place soon in the Bundesbank: Weber, Stark and now Weidmann. Barclays experts say “the death rate in this institution seems unusually high.” The Bundesbank is impressive in its power and majesty, but analysists consider “their lack of ability to adapt to the circumstances” is going to lead to its disappearance. Barclays team suggests that “the ECB’s adaptation contrasts with…
By Tania Suárez, Madrid | Global growth will remain below trend until later this year, according to JP Morgan expectations. Rates have dropped less than 50bp from their peaks in 2011 and are projected to fall further 20bp until late 2012. Developed markets authorities believe that “the limit of zero interest rates has eliminated the possibility of conventional action.” Meanwhile, emerging markets with still flexible rates, have “persistently high inflation…
Renowned scholar on EU law, Gunnar Beck was an adviser to the House of Commons, a practicing barrister and a professor at the School of Oriental and African Studies in London. He believes that Germany’s guilt complex and short-term reasoning will lead her to continue defending the euro, while Chancellor Merkel’s policies show that Germany has still not become a properly sovereign and democratic nation yet. This article was recently…
Famous for his provocative views on international economics and China’s rise, Andy Xie is an independent economist who predicted the Asian bubble in 1997. Based in Shanghai, he is a former Morgan Stanley star chief Asia-Pacific analyst. We interviewed him for our summer interviews on China’s challenges, the eurodrama and his forecast for the future. For Mr. Xie, Wall Street bankers are viewed in China as “a bunch of corrupt…
By Luis Arroyo, in Madrid | German Chancellor Angela Merkel the executioner recently said that austerity is the right path, and that Canada should provide a good enough example for non-believers. Should we have a closer look into her claims?, of course we must. Unfortunately for her, it clearly appears to be the case that Canada’s success has been supported by a monetary policy absolutely at odds with the European Central…
MADRID | Draghi’s apparent resoluteness in shouldering the euro has dramatically turned the tide. No action has followed his words and yet the July nightmare has switched this month into a soothing dream. Undoubtedly investors were eager to take on board any good news reversing the excessive downside overshoot in the markets. Europeans leaders have also helped by wholeheartedly enjoying their holidays. For once, they have refrained from voicing the…
Professor of Economics at Columbia University Martin Uribe strongly believes that the Eurozone needs structural changes to tackle the crisis, especially in fiscal matters. For this expert in macroeconomic analysis, who has worked for many universities and institutions including the European Central Bank, the lack of tax policy at a European level is condemning the least developed countries to beg for aid. Uribe talked to The Corner summer interviews’ series from…
LONDON | Even Ledbury Research, a specialised market intelligence agency that on Thursday released fresh data on the wealthiest few of the British society, acknowledges how tough the task of gaining access to their detailed information is. Yet, the rich hold a vast share of consumer influence and, obviously, economic power in their countries, so it is worth making the effort. What the Wealth Size report brought is a tale…
By CaixaBank research team, in Barcelona | With half of 2012 already gone, three issues continue to be fundamental in order to strike some sort of balance in the situation for emerging Europe: the intensity of the financial contagion entailed by the debt crisis, Hungary’s situation and the extent of the slowdown in activity. Starting with the first of these issues, the trend in risk premia, measured by the value…