In Europe

Europarlament

European Parliament to debate ‘Threats to the rule of law as a consequence of the government agreement in Spain’ today

The draft Amnesty Law and its impact on the rule of law comes to the heart of Europe amid great expectations. The Strasbourg plenary session is holding a debate on Wednesday on “Threats to the rule of law as a consequence of the government agreement in Spain” with positions becoming inflamed. In the Conference of Presidents it was approved by all groups except the Social Democrats, Greens and the Left….


Tecnic

Técnicas Reunidas wins contract to design and execute decarbonisation at three ArcelorMittal plants

Bankinter | ArcelorMittal is to renovate its plants in Dunkirk, Ghent and Bremen. The budget amounts to €2,000M. Técnicas Reunidas will carry out the design and execution of the projects. This order is part of ArcelorMittal’s objective to decarbonise its plants by 2050, for which it plans to invest €75 billion. Assessment: Positive news because it allows it to increase its presence in a high-growth segment such as decarbonisation (it…



Talgo

Takeover bid again highlights possibility of corporate operation in Talgo, subject to Trilantic’s approval

Banc Sabadell announced last week, reacting to a publication in the press, that it had received a preliminary expression of potential interest in launching a takeover bid for 100% of the company’s shares by a Hungarian business group (a family holding company according to the press) at a price of €5/share, which would represent a premium of +28% over the previous day’s closing price (+43% over the average of the…


Eurozona PMIs chunguis

Brussels revises GDP growth downwards, eurozone industrial production falters

Bankinter: The European Commission has revised its growth forecasts for 2023 and 2024. downwards GDP: +0.6% and +1.2% in 2023 and 2024 vs. +0.8% and +1.3% previously. CPI: +5.6% and +3.2% vs. 5.6% and +2.9% previously. (ii) Industrial Production showed weakness again in September: -6.9% vs. -6.3% expected and -5.1% previously. Assessment: The downward revision by the European Commission shows the slowdown of the economy registered by some macroeconomic indicators…


BCE Sept 2023 4

Profit margins provide sufficient cushion for prices to rise less than wages; ECB to wait for wage deceleration before starting cuts

Morgan Stanley: Eurozone inflation is clearly on a downward trajectory. After October’s 2.9%Y in October, we expect inflation to be 2.4%Y in 2024 and 2.0%Y in 2025 and although the main risk is the pass-through of wage growth to prices we believe that profit margins provide a sufficient cushion to keep prices from rising as much as wages. However, inflation will continue to be exposed to gas price increases as…


Talgo

Germany, Denmark and Spain projects put Talgo’s 3Q23 revenues higher than 3Q22’s

Norbolsa| The company yesterday presented its 3Q23 results, with revenues of €470.3m, which were +34% higher than in 3Q22, thanks to projects in Germany, Denmark and Spain. EBITDA margin grew by +68% to EUR 64.5m versus 3Q22 to reach 13.7% (10.9% previous), thanks to the implementation of the risk mitigation measures being carried out. Finally, the company improved margin guidance to 13% (12% previous), slightly increased DFN/EBITDA ratio to 2.5x…


Alemania Exportaciones

Germany’s current account surplus reaches €28.1 billion in September compared to €12.5 billion in same month last year

Link Securities| Germany’s central bank, the Bundesbank, yesterday published that Germany’s current account surplus reached €28.1 billion in September compared to €12.5 billion in the same month last year. The goods surplus increased to €22.5bn from €11.1bn in September 2022, as imports fell by 18.6% and exports by a noticeably smaller 9.2%. For its part, the primary income surplus increased to €15.8 billion from €12.4 billion in the same month…


eurozone

Eurozone GDP down 0.1%, employment up 0.3% in Q3

CdM| In the third quarter of 2023, seasonally adjusted GDP declined by 0.1% in the euro area and remained stable in the EU, compared with the previous quarter, according to a flash estimate released by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In the second quarter of 2023, GDP had grown by 0.2 per cent in the euro area and remained stable in the EU. Compared with the same…


airbus A320

Airbus close to signing 350-aircraft order with Turkish Airlines

Banc Sabadell| According to Bloomberg, Airbus (AIR) is close to closing an order with Turkish Airlines for about 350 aircraft (4% of the current backlog) of which 250 would correspond to the A321 model, and the remaining 100 to the A350 model (“widebody” model). Assessment: Positive news, if confirmed, as this is a significant order that demonstrates the current strong demand for aircraft. We particularly highlight the order for close…