No day goes by without us being told how wonderful this year’s tourism campaign is going to be, in terms of the millions of visitors and the billions of euros it will generate. The tourism campaign is focused on the third quarter, when everyone and their aunt is getting sunburnt. There are many more jobs, workers are needed, and this is reflected in the increase in the number of hours worked, normal and extra.
F.Barciela / F.G. Ljubetic | Just as was expected, the ‘Opportunity Funds’ (or Vulture Funds as they are referred to) are starting to unwind positions and leave Spain: good news, because it shows that the days of bargains are over as the country is firmly on the road to recovery. But the fact these funds are leaving Spain doesn’t mean they will not have other opportunities. Now they are betting on countries like Brazil, Greece, Italy or Puerto Rico.
J. L. Martínez Campuzano (Spanish Banking Association) | There are very few doubts about the basic strength of the Spanish economy at the moment, in line with relevant data. But there is one statistic published recently which deserves some special attention, namely that related to Bankruptcy Proceedings in Q2.
Mari Pinardo | Insurance companies, particularly the European ones, are up against a rock and hard place due to the low interest rate environment, the need to look for long-term profitability, the lack of investor appetite and the impact of Brexit on European fixed income markets. This backdrop, coupled with the high level of fragmentation in the sector in Spain, is likely to lead to more consolidation in the short-term.
F.Barciela /F. G. Ljubetic | If the banks are still the protagonists in terms of granting mortgages to private individuals, another thing is new developments where their role is decreasing. Burned by what happened in the past, the banks are looking very closely, and selectively, at each new development proposal. This has meant that in the last few years alternative financing formulas have emerged which property developers are using to push ahead with their projects.
Housing sales in Spain increased by 19.4% year-on-year in June to 36,856 units, the largest figure since January 2013.
Spain’s banks currently have on their books something close to 213 billion euros in property risks (assets and loans). Is that a lot or not? Judging by the recent reports from the Bank of Spain or Moody’s, the total is rather worrying: and we are not talking about small change but about the fact that our lenders still have an amount of property on their balance sheets equivalent to 20% of GDP.
A recent European Commission report on innovation indicators highlights that Spain is the third country, along with Lithuania, which has fallen behind the most in matters of innovation – after Romania and Hungary. Since the start of the crisis in 2008, Spain has lost an average of 0.8% annually in R&D output.
It’s good news for Spain’s economic recovery. The number of unemployed people registered with Spain’s public employment services dropped by 83,993, or 2.2%, in July from June to 3.683.061 million, the lowest level since August 2009. It was also the biggest fall in the month of July since 1997.
