In the World

EEUU consumidores conference board 1

Consumer confidence in US (The Conference Board) falls to four-year low – 92.9 – in March

Bankinter | Consumer Confidence (March) disappoints, moderating to 92.9 against the 94.0 expected and 100.1 previous (revised from 98.3). It is at its lowest level since January 2021 and is the fourth consecutive month of decline. By components: (i) Current Situation: 134.5 versus 138.1 previous (revised from 136.5); (ii) Expectations: 65.2 versus 74.8 previous (revised from 72.9). (ii) Fed Richmond Manufacturing Activity Indicator (March): -4 versus 1 expected and 6…


EEUU Trump aranceles

Spain threatened by possible 25% tariff on countries importing oil or gas from Venezuela, directly or through third parties

Bankinter US President Donald Trump has announced the possibility of a 25% tariff on any country that imports oil or gas from Venezuela, either directly or through third parties. Trump announced this measure, dubbed a ‘secondary tariff’ for ‘sending tens of thousands of criminals to the US’, which was later confirmed by executive order. Although it is due to come into force on 2 April, its application will not be…


Repsol nueva

Due to agreement with PDVSA on key properties of Tomoporo and La Ceiba, Repsol may face tariffs on imports from Venezuela

Banco Sabadell | Donald Trump has announced the imposition of a 25% tariff on all imports from countries that buy oil or gas from Venezuela. This measure would come into force on 2 April 2025. Among the potentially affected nations are Spain, China and India. Although these could be additional tariffs to those already announced, the details of their implementation are ambiguous. The Trump Administration will offer more details in…


fed powell nov 2023

Fed keeps interest rates unchanged, raises inflation projections and recognises high level of uncertainty

Norbolsa | The monetary authority kept interest rates unchanged as expected after a meeting where the focus was on economic projections and the outlook for rates. Thus, the easing of recession risks, together with the maintenance of expectations of two rate cuts during the year, reassured the market, although it recognised that with the high uncertainty in the scenario, the best estimate given by the members is that they will…


EEUU energy

US industrial production recovers in February due to strong rise in durable goods

Intermoney | Industrial production recovered in February, advancing by +0.7% m. (five tenths more than expected) while January’s was revised downwards by two tenths to 0.3%. The solid growth in manufacturing activity (0.9% month-on-month) together with mining production (2.8% month-on-month) meant that the fall in utilities (2.5% month-on-month) was not particularly noticeable, thanks to the mild temperatures compared to a particularly cold January. In the details of the data, the…


sacyr edificio logo nuevo

Sacyr awarded another concession in Chile, extension of one already under way, worth €516 million

Intermoney | Sacyr (Buy, PO €4.4) announced yesterday, while the market was open, that it had been awarded a new concession in Chile. This is the Itata Route, which involves an investment of €516 million and includes the improvement, construction, maintenance and operation of existing and new works. These include the improvement of the current routes 152 (75.1 km) and 158 (14.1 km) and a new 6.9 km dual carriageway…


economia global

OECD revises global growth estimates downwards and inflation estimates upwards for 2025 and 2026

Bankinter | The estimate of global growth for 2025 now stands at +3.1% from 3.3% previously and for 2026 at +3% from +3.3% previously. Canada and Mexico are the economies most negatively affected due to the impact of growing tariff tensions. In the United States, growth is now expected to be +2.2% by 2025 (+2.4% previously) and +1.6% by 2026 (2.1% previously). For Spain, the forecast has been revised upwards…


EEUU en el mundo

Trump’s tax reform aims to achieve spending savings of between $1.5-2 trillion over 10 years

Norbolsa | Now that the budget extension has been dealt with over the weekend, the Republican Party is now focusing on the debate on how to implement the president’s tax plan. The debate centres on the ability to achieve the $1.5-2 trillion in spending savings over 10 years that is envisaged in the president’s programme. For a part of the Republican Party, in order to achieve these savings it is…


oil barrels

OPEC production rises in February, boosted by Kazakhstan with 363,000 bpd to 41.01 Mbd, double April’s forecast

Bankinter | In its monthly report, OPEC states that Kazakhstan’s production increase was 363,000bp, to a total production of 41.01Mbd. The increase more than doubles the total production increase forecast by OPEC for April: 138,000bp. Kazakhstan is increasing its production thanks to the Tangiz field, operated by Chevron. Specifically, it is producing 1.767 Mbd, a level that compares with 1.570 Mbd in January and 1.468 Mbd of permitted quota. Other…


ferrovial 407

Ferrovial increases stake in ETR to 48% after buying 5% for €1.34 billion

Intermoney | Ferrovial (FER) (Hold, PO €39) announced on Thursday an agreement with AtkinsRéalis, a Canadian engineering firm formerly known as SNC Lavalin Group, for the sale and purchase of 5.06% of the capital of the ETR407 motorway, for the sum of C$2.09 billion, or approximately €1.34 billion. Ferrovial thus increases its stake in ETR to 48.3%. Ferrovial will acquire 3.3% at the closing of the agreement, while the remaining…