In the World

strategic plan

The five threats to the global economy (and Spanish exports), according to Cesce

Reported by Consejeros Editorial Team Based on strategic realism, not pessimistic prophecy, and with the aim of providing Spanish companies with a tool to better understand the events that are shaking up the geopolitical, economic and commercial landscape, Cesce’s Country Risk Unit has produced a new edition of its International Outlook report, the eleventh. “Our country’s business community cannot be a mere spectator in a scenario such as the current…


Fed Kevin Warsh Reunion Junio 2026 1

Warsh keeps rates on hold but commits to price stability and sets up working groups to reform Fed

Report by Renta 4 European markets open lower (Eurostoxx futures down 0.5%, S&P futures up 0.6%, Nasdaq futures up 1.5%) whilst Asian markets close higher (Japan’s Nikkei up 1.7%, South Korean Kospi up 1.3%) and news that Trump has signed the memorandum of understanding (following rumours of a possible delay until Wednesday) to end the war with Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, bringing forward the timetable for the…


FED Kevin Warsh

Kevin Warsh makes Fed debut, now with greater scope to sound neutral without appearing ‘dovish’

Report by Renta 4 Flat opening on European markets (Eurostoxx futures down 0.1%, S&P futures up 0.2%, Nasdaq futures up 0.7%) and modest gains in Asia (Nikkei up 0.8%, Kospi up 1%), with markets keeping a close eye on US-Iran negotiations (the draft MoU has already been published) and with Brent crude continuing to fall (down 16% over five sessions to 78 USD/b), as attention focuses on whether physical traffic…


fed edificio

Fed’s new favourite inflation indicator: does it measure better or less?

The new Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, appears to favour giving greater weight to the Trimmed Mean PCE at the expense of the traditional Core PCE, which has been the benchmark indicator to date. The distinction is not insignificant. Whilst the Core PCE systematically excludes food and energy, the Trimmed Mean discards components with the most extreme price fluctuations, regardless of their category. A more surgical approach, in…


oil demand

Crude oil risk premium set to persist for months, if not longer

By Libby Cantrill President Donald Trump is in the French Alps this week to attend the annual G7 leaders’ summit, where one of the main focal points will be the recent memorandum of understanding (MOU) between the United States and Iran. Although the details of the agreement have not yet been made public, it reflects a fragile truce – one that is politically welcome for Trump, whose approval ratings have…


Japon banco central politica monteria

Bank of Japan raises interest rates to 1%, highest level since 1995

Report by Renta 4 European markets open largely unchanged (Eurostoxx futures down 0.03%, S&P futures down 0.1%, Nasdaq futures down 0.2%), following gains in the US (Nasdaq up 3% and the Dow Jones hitting new all-time highs) and Asia (Japan’s Nikkei up 0.6% and South Korea’s Kospi up 2%), and amid doubts surrounding the agreement between the US and Iran. On the central bank front, the Bank of Japan (BoJ)…


iran eeuu

US and Iran reach agreement to be ratified on 19 June, allowing Strait of Hormuz to be reopened

Report by Renta 4 And finally came the announcement of the US-Iran agreement (not yet signed), leading to an upward opening on European markets (Eurostoxx futures up 1.7%, S&P futures up 1.3%, Nasdaq futures up 1.9%) and gains in Asia (Japan’s Nikkei and South Korea’s Kospi up 5%), with Asian emerging markets (the Philippines, Indonesia) leading the gains as they had suffered the most due to their dependence on energy…


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SpaceX, largest IPO in history, to begin trading today, raising $75 billion at $135 per share, with valuation of $1.77 trillion

Report by Renta 4 European markets open higher (Eurostoxx futures up 1.7%, US futures flat) and strong gains in Asia (Japan’s Nikkei up 3%, South Korea’s Kospi up 5%), in a session dominated by SpaceX’s market debut, against the backdrop of a potential US-Iran deal. In this regard, yesterday’s session was highly volatile, with initial threats from Trump of new air strikes against Iran and of taking control of Kharg…


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Is space the new Eldorado for investors?

By Edmond de Rothschild SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO), scheduled for 12 June, has reignited investor interest in the space sector. The sector offers enormous commercial potential for telecoms operators, defence companies and data processing infrastructure providers. The total potential market is estimated at $1.8 trillion by 2035, and whilst it could be much larger, it is difficult to calculate at this early stage. The main bottleneck lies in launching…


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US inflation rises above 4% year-on-year in May, more than double Fed’s target

By Consejeros Editorial Team The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) soared in May to 4.2% year-on-year, the highest level since April 2023 and in line with market forecasts, which predicted a continuation of an upward trend driven by rising energy costs due to the war in Iran. Energy prices rose by 3.9% over the month, slightly above the 3.8% recorded in April and following a 10.9% increase in March. Inflation…