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OPEC post mortem

World economy 18th January 2024

OPEC maintains its 2024 demand growth estimate of 2.2 mbd to 104.4 mbd on strong air travel demand and healthy road mobility

Link Securities | According to OPEC’s monthly report, global oil demand will grow by 2.2 million barrels per day (mbd) in 2024, which means that the cartel’s analysts have maintained their estimates from the previous month unchanged. Thus, demand for crude oil will reach 104.4 mbd in 2024. In that year, according to OPEC, demand will be driven by strong demand for air travel and healthy road mobility, including diesel…

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World economy 17th January 2024

China’s 5.2% growth disappoints, population shrinks for second year running

Bankinter : China: poor growth and adverse demographics – GDP 4Q 2023 was 5.2% rather than the 5.3% expected and the 4.9% previous. Retail Sales in December were up 7.4% against the 8.0% expected while Industrial Production was up 6.8% against the 6.6% expected and previous. Analysis: GDP over 2023 has been +5.2%., which is slightly below market expectations, although above the government’s formal target of +5.0%. The weakest indicators…

cie automotive montaje

World economy 16th January 2024

Red Sea crisis continues to affect automotive supply chain: Michelin, Volvo, Tesla and Geely

Norbolsa | The Red Sea crisis continues to affect the automotive supply chain. Michelin was one of the first suppliers to be affected by the lack of rubber, while more recently Volvo, Tesla and Geely have also been hit by shortages. Meanwhile, Stellantis said it is using air transport to cope with temporary supply disruptions, while Volkswagen announced that it does not expect “significant” restrictions on production. Visibility remains limited,…

Grenergy

World economy 15th January 2024

Grenergy signs strategic agreement with China’s BYD to supply batteries with 1.1 GWh capacity in Chile

Alphavalue / Divacons | The renewable energy group has signed a strategic agreement with China’s BYD for the supply of large-scale storage systems through batteries with a capacity of 1.1 gigawatt hours (GWh) for its Oasis de Atacama project in Chile. As part of this collaboration, BYD will supply Grenergy with a total of 2,136 installations of its MC Cube ESS model. This storage system is equipped with Blade batteries,…

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World economy 15th January 2024

US producer prices fall again in December for third month in a row

BancaMarch : In the United States, producer prices fell again in December, showing subdued cost inflation. On a monthly basis, the index shows a decrease of -0.1%, below the expected 0.1% and equal to the -0.1% of the previous month. Thus, the index remains in negative territory for the third consecutive month, a fact that has not been recorded since 2020. On the other hand, the underlying rate repeats the…

Galp

World economy 12th January 2024

Galp Energia discovers oil field in Namibia, but total reserves to be exploited not known

Singular Bank | The Portuguese energy company has risen 8% following news of a bumper offshore oil discovery in Namibia. Galp is the operator and holds an 80% stake. In addition, the Namcor (10%) and Custos (10%) companies are participating in the discovery, the total reserves that may be exploited in the field are unknown. Galp has carried out several well drilling projects offshore Namibia since 2019. In fact, the…

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World economy 12th January 2024

China Data Flash: regulatory tightening on real estate financing dampens investment sentiment; stability now the key word which accompanies growth in official statements

Alicia García Herrero (Natixis)| Investment sentiment has declined significantly in the last two months of 2023, mainly due to negative sentiment regarding real estate. In December, regulatory fines were issued to multiple financial institutions, including two large AMCs and a few banks, for the illegal granting of funds to developers. Despite numerous stimuli aimed at encouraging financial institutions to provide financing channels for developers, it is anticipated that only those…

naturgy

World economy 11th January 2024

Naturgy begins construction of second large photovoltaic facility in US, in Texas, with €285-million investment

Link Securities | Naturgy (NTGY) has begun construction of its second large photovoltaic facility in the United States, the Grimes plant, which will have a capacity of 210 MW and will involve an investment of more than €285 million, according to Europa Press. This new renewable generation plant will be located in the state of Texas and will generate enough emission-free electricity to supply approximately 140,000 homes. With the start-up…

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World economy 10th January 2024

World Bank forecasts bring forward worst five-year period (2020-2025) for growth in 30 years

The world economy is expected to grow by just 2.4% in 2024 (vs. 2.6% in 2023), indicating weak growth for the third year in a row, before rebounding to 2.7% in 2025. These levels are below the 3.1% average growth of the previous decade. This year, real GDP growth is projected to weaken in both advanced economies – 1.2% in 2024 compared to 1.5% in 2023 – and emerging economies…

Airbus 320

World economy 9th January 2024

Boeing 737 Max model, involved in last week’s Air Alaska incident, is in direct competition with Airbus’ A320

Banco Sabadell : The FAA (Federal Aviation Administration) decided to order a flight ban on the 737 Max model 9 (the longest-range variant of the single-aisle models) following the Alaska Air incident on the night of 5 January last. Specifically, the incident was caused by the loss of part of the fuselage during flight -its plugged exit door exited the airframe shortly after departure from Portland International Airport- which resulted…