Morgan Stanley | The increase in delinquencies in subprime auto loans in the US, as well as the normalisation of second hand car prices, is not being caught by consensus. When this happens, the debate will begin over the weak yield in the region, preventing a rerating of the security. The analyst is lowering EPS 2023 forecasts for Santander by 3% due to the increase in the level of provisions…
Singular Bank | The ECB revises and determines minimum capital requirements for each lender annually so that, in function of its own funds, it has an established guarantee of solvency. In this respect, for 2023, BBVA will have to have a CET1 ratio of 8.72% (vs 8.60% in 2022) and a total capital level of 12.97% (vs 12.76%). In the case of Sabadell, the CET1 will have to be 8.65%, compared…
Renta 4 | In line with information in the el Economista daily, BBVA would have prevailed over minority shareholders (MERLIN Properties and SANJOSE) in the arbitrage over the sale rights in Distrito Castellana Norte (DCN) project. The Arbitrator, D. Miguel Virgós, has communicated his decision to the parties involved. This means the Spanish bank, chaired by D. Carlos Torres, will be able to sell its 75.54% stake in the project,…
The Corner | BBVA said net attributable profit rose 46% to 4.842 billion euros in the nine months to September from a year earlier, boosted by a strong performance in its main market Mexico. Group net interest income rose 29% to 13.811 billion euros year-on-year, while costs increased by 12.8%, as the hike in interest rates offset inflation. In Mexico, net attributable profit rose 47.5% in the nine-month period to 2.964…
Morgan Stanley |We have carried out a survey amongst our sectorial analysts to find out their estimates with regard to consensus expectations for each sector. Also to identify where they are most confident in terms of results. The survey flags a solid Q3, with 50% of sectors beating forecasts vs 13% seen as falling behind. That said, looking ahead at FY’23, my analysts predict a clear downside risk to consensus…
BBVA has upped its targets for sustainable financing. The Spanish lender expects to reach 300 billion euros of products linked to sustainability targets in the period 2018-2025, according to the daily Cinco Dias, citing BBVA chairman Carlos Torres during a conference in Washington. Cinco Dias said the new amount would represent a 50% increase on the goal of 200 million euros announced in July 2021, when the bank updated its…
Morgan Stanley | We are expecting a positive surprise in NII (+3.6% QoQ), which will allow for upgrades in consensus estimates for 2023. Meanwhile, in terms of provisions we are expecting stable figures. We see the best momentum in terms of profits for BBVA and Caixabank (both Overweight) and there could be a catch up in Banco Santander, as the political uncertainty lessens. Santander – Good numbers in Spain. The…
Alphavalue/DIVACONS | The CEO of BBVA (Buy, Target Price 4,30 euros/share), Onur Genç, commented on Wednesday that the Spanish bank is open to exploring potential acquisitions of financial entities. In regard to this, he highlighted the following: “It would have to be a big bank, with a large market share”. Asked about the business in Turkey, which has recently been accounted for under a criterion of hyperinflation, Genç argued that…
Alphavalue | BBVA (Buy, Target Price 6,24 euros +) plans to hire 400 people in Spain this year with a technological profile. The Spanish bank revealed it foresees the incorporation of 2,000 employees into its workforce with this kind of profile in 2022. As analysts at Link explain: “As the group announced yesterday, almost 1,000 engineers have joined BBVA in H1 2022, a figure which the bank expects to double…
Morgan Stanley | A more positive tone or guidance concerning NII should continue providing support for the Spanish banks. We recall that last week we raised our estimates for NII by an average 5% after incorporating 100 bp of rate hikes vs a previous 50 bp. This should offset the impact of an average 15 bp in CET1 due to the rise in bond yields. Asset quality should remain stable. BBVA…