Bankinter : Labour Costs rebounded 4.6% in Q3 against 5.2% previously (revised up from 4.7%). Wages were up 4.4% versus 4.9% previously (revised up from 4.5%). Our view: Wage pressures remain elevated and will hamper the ECB’s rate cut process in upcoming meetings. This is especially so as they will be coupled with a more hawkish Fed as a result of the pick-up in inflation that will be triggered by…
Bankinter: The October Unemployment Rate repeats at 6.3%, as expected. No surprises and no market impact. In any case, it is an excellent historical low level within a slightly downward trend during the last years. Eurostat estimates that in October 10.841 million people were unemployed in the Eurozone. Compared to September, unemployment decreased by 3,000 people in the Eurozone. Compared to October 2023, unemployment decreased by 411,000. By Eurozone countries,…
Intermoney: The confidence indicators were published yesterday in the Eurozone, both the one referring to consumers and the one referring to businessmen. Regarding the former, in the Euro zone as a whole we saw a noticeable change for the worse, with consumer confidence as compiled by the EC falling to -13.7 pts (vs. -12.5 est.). Concerning the business climate, in this case we had the national reading in France, which…
Intermoney | Eurozone trade balance figures for August disappointed as the trade surplus narrowed quite a bit, to €11bn (vs. an estimated €17.6bn). At the same time, July’s data was revised down to a surplus of €13.7 billion. The euro area’s surplus in trade in goods with the rest of the world also narrowed, mainly due to lower exports of machinery and vehicles. Trade tensions were more than evident with…
Singular Bank: According to Eurostat’s final reading, in August the year-on-year rate of change of the Eurozone’s headline CPI stood at 2.2% (versus 2.6% in July), representing its lowest level in three years. In a situation in which monthly prices grew at a faster pace of 0.1% (versus 0.0% in July). This new advance in the disinflationary process was driven by the fall in energy prices of 3.0% with respect…
Link Securities | According to the preliminary estimate of the data, released on Tuesday by Eurostat, the Eurozone generated in July a trade surplus with the rest of the world amounting to €21.2 billion (€21.7 billion in June), much higher than the €6.7 billion reached in July 2023 and the €18 billion expected by FactSet’s consensus analysts. In the month of July, exports of goods from the Eurozone to the…
CdM | The inflation rate in the euro area stood at 2.6% year-on-year in July, one tenth of a percentage point higher than the rise in prices observed in June. Moreover, as confirmed by the EU statistics office, Eurostat, in the EU as a whole the rate has risen to 2.8%, two tenths of a percentage point more than in June. The acceleration in price increases in the euro area…
Link Securities | According to Eurostat data, the Eurozone’s trade surplus rose to €22.3 billion in June, exceeding analysts’ consensus forecast of €13.3 billion and also surpassing the €18 billion surplus in the same month last year. Imports decreased by 8.6% year-on-year to €214 billion, mainly due to lower purchases of manufactured goods (-11.0%); transport equipment and machinery (-11.0%); mineral fuels, lubricants and related products (-9.1%); and chemicals (-6.8%). Meanwhile,…
CdM | The Eurozone maintained the pace of expansion in the second quarter, when gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0.3% over the previous three months, according to the second reading of the data published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union (EU), which coincides with the first estimate. Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, GDP increased by 0.6% in the euro area following growth…
Banca March: In the eurozone, GDP growth in the second quarter beat forecasts, both in quarterly and year-on-year terms. This resilience is based on the fact that three of the four main economies – France, Spain and Italy – have delivered better than expected figures, offsetting the unexpected contraction in Germany. Aggregate GDP variation in the quarter remained at +0.3%, the same as in the previous quarter, but better than…