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BrexitBanderolas

European economy 26th January 2023

Could the worst slump in UK services PMIs in two years be a leading indicator for the Eurozone?

Santander Corporate & Research | The worst slump in UK services PMIs in two years, since the 2021 confinements, puts a clear question mark over the sustainability of an expected EZ economic recovery that explains the good momentum in credit markets. True, with these PMIs already above 50pt for the first time since June and the third consecutive month of improvement, our economists believe that the EZ may be able…

Eurozone

European economy, In Europe 25th January 2023

Eurozone activity returns to growth: composite PMI stands at 50.2 in January

CdM: This is what the PMI index data released on Tuesday by S&P Global shows. “Eurozone business activity increased slightly in the first month of 2023, signalling a hesitant return to growth after six consecutive months of decline.” Specifically, the Flash Eurozone Total Activity Composite PMI Index came in at 50.2 (49.3 in December), registering a seven-month high. This figure indicates “the first – albeit only modest – expansion in…

Croatia

European economy, European politics 4th January 2023

Croatia introduces euro, Hrvatska narodna banka joins Eurosystem

The euro has entered into circulation in Croatia today, bringing the number of European Union (EU) Member States using the single European currency to 20. With Croatia’s accession to the euro area, Hrvatska narodna banka, the country’s national central bank, becomes a member of the Eurosystem. The central banking system of the euro area consists of the ECB and the national central banks of the countries whose currency is the…

inflation board

European economy 31st October 2022

There is No Sign of Respite in Inflation Data In Europe

German inflation in October was 11.6%, well above expectations, Italian inflation was 12.8% and French inflation was 7.1%, all higher than expected and higher than last month. The components will be released mid-month, but some regional figures in Germany show that the big contributors to price increases continue to be energy costs and food. In Spain, inflation slowed yr-on-yr in October to 7.3% on lower electricity, gas prices. Also, in…

eu human rights

European economy 7th October 2022

Calls Are Growing For A European Fiscal Programme

Santander | Calls are growing for a European fiscal programme. Financed by joint SURE-style emissions guaranteed by member states. In this case, to combat the energy and security crisis as proposed in their open letter by EC Commissioners for Economy and Home Affairs Gentiloni and Breton last Monday. Yesterday it was the turn of Von der Leyen, who called for the EU to seek other sources of funding to accelerate…

InflationEZ

European economy 6th September 2022

Inflation Expectations Not Yet Decoupled From The Official ECB

Crédito y Caución (Atradius) | High inflation is the current hot economic topic. In June, inflation was running at over 11% in the Netherlands1; for the eurozone it was nearly 9%, which is surely a record. It is also sure that the inflationary bite is being felt, particularly in the purchasing power of lower income groups. The question is, how long will this high inflation last? In recent months, energy…

eurozone quarantine

Relevant News Item 1st August 2022

Eurozone Economy Is Slowing Down

Crédito y Caución (Atradius) | The eurozone is struggling with a strong divergence between a weak industrial sector plagued by supply bottlenecks, higher input costs and weakening sentiment on the one hand, and a solid services sector, which is experiencing a post-Covid rebound. We expect 2.9% GDP growth in 2022 and 2.5% in 2023. Among major economies, 2022 GDP growth since our previous Economic Outlook in April has been downwardly…

Inflation

European economy 18th July 2022

Europe Fails To Address Inflation

Juan Pedro Marín-Arrese | Blaming Putin for the current inflationary bout no longer holds. No one disputes that sanctions aimed at crippling the Russian economy following the aggression on Ukraine have made the prices of vital commodities skyrocket, mainly due to wild speculative movements. Nowadays, we are witnessing sharp falls in raw materials while prices gather further momentum. Thus, claiming we only face a cost shock from such products seems…

Eurozone

European economy 3rd May 2022

Eurozone To Lose One Point Of Growth To War

Crédito y Caución expects the Russian invasion of Ukraine to cut Eurozone GDP growth by one percentage point to 2.9% in 2022, due to supply chain disruption, higher commodity prices and the adverse impact on business and consumer confidence. This impact assessment, subject to a high level of uncertainty, is based on two assumptions: that the conflict will not continue beyond 2022 and that sanctions will be strengthened but not…

Eurozone

European economy 17th February 2022

Eurozone Recovers Pre-Pandemic Employment Figures

The number of registered workers in the Eurozone exceeded in the fourth quarter of 2021 the figure recorded in the same period of 2019, thus recovering for the first time the level of employment prior to the Covid-19 pandemic, according to data published by Eurostat. According to the EU office, the number of employed people increased in the fourth quarter by 0.5% in the Eurozone and in the European Union…