Bankinter | Preliminary CPI rises less than expected in September. Year-on-year 1.2% versus 1.3% expected versus 0.9% in August. In month-on-month terms, negative 1.0% versus negative 0.9% versus a rise of 0.4% previously. Producer prices rise (year-on-year) 0.1% versus 0.5% previously (revised from 0.4%). In month-on-month terms, down 0.2% versus 0.5% previously (revised from increase of 0.4%). Finally, consumer spending (year-on-year) fell 0.8% versus 0.3% expected and 0.4% previously (revised…

Bankinter | Prime Minister Bayrou proposes a €43.8 billion adjustment to the 2026 budget. The aim is to reduce the deficit, which stands at -5.8% in 2024 (as opposed to -3.1% in the EMU, -2.8% in Germany, -3.4% in Italy and -3.2% in Spain) to -4.6% in 2026, with a commitment to reach -3% in 2029. The government’s projections point to a figure of -5.4% in 2025. The measures presented…

The weekend ends with a focus on France, following the resignation of Prime Minister Michel Barnier due to the no-confidence motion backed by Marine Le Pen’s far-right party. According to Le Pen, the outgoing administration’s plan to bring the budget gap down to 3.0% by 2029 was not credible for the country, and a “reasonable trajectory” based on wealth creation and savings is needed. “We want to absorb the deficits,…

Bankinter: Fitch maintained its rating at AA-, but downgraded its outlook to Negative. It justified its decision on the sharp rise in the Public Deficit: it is expected to close this year at 6.1%, far from the limit imposed by the EU, 3%, from Fitch’s previous estimate, 5.1%, and from the 2023 level, 5.5%. They do not expect it to reach the 3.0% target until 2029. Consistently, they estimate that…