German economy

European economy, In Europe 28th March 2023

German business confidence rises in March to 93.3 from February’s 91.1

Bankinter | IFO Business Climate Survey (March) 93.3 vs 91.0 expected and 91.1 previous. Expectations 91.1 vs 88.3 expected and 88.5 previous. Current Situation 95.4 vs 94.1 expected and 93.9 previous. Analysis: The data bring a positive surprise. However, in the current context, the IFO is less influential. This week the focus is on the financial sector and inflation data in Europe. The downside is that solid economic data give…

European economy, In Europe 21st March 2023

Bundesbank: technical recession unavoidable for Germany in 1Q23 but decline could be less than 4Q22’s 0.4%

Link Securities | Germany’s central bank, the Bundesbank, as reflected in its Monthly Bulletin, expects Germany’s Gross Domestic Product to contract in 1Q2023 relative to the previous quarter. The Bundesbank believes that the productivity of the German economy could fall again in 1Q2023, albeit less sharply than in the previous quarter. According to the bulletin, the German economy recovered at the beginning of 2023 only with difficulty from the sharp…

European economy 22nd February 2023

Bundesbank predicts German economy to enter mild recession in 1Q2023

Link Securities | According to the German central bank, the Bundesbank, in its monthly bulletin, and reported yesterday by Europa Press, the German economy will probably enter recession in 1Q2023 as the evolution of GDP will be weaker than in 4Q2022, when activity contracted by 0.2%. The Bundesbank also says it is confident that this contraction in economic activity will be milder than it expected in its December projections. According…

World economy 30th January 2023

Mild Winter Recession in Germany

ifo | “High inflation rates have driven the German economy into a winter recession.” This is how Timo Wollmershäuser, Head of Forecasts at ifo, responded when Germany’s Federal Statistical Office reported that economic output in the fourth quarter of 2022 had fallen by 0.2 percent. The Federal Statistical Office had originally expected growth to be flat, based on provisional figures. “The usual definition of a recession is when gross domestic…

European economy, European politics, Interviews 28th January 2023

Veronika Grimm: “the high costs of fossil energies represent a stimulus to accelerate the transformation towards renewable energies”

Lidia Conde | Veronika Grimm (Rendsburg, Germany, 1971) sits on the German Federal Government’s Advisory Council of Economists, which analyses the country’s economic development on the basis of scientific criteria and publishes a report every autumn in which it expresses its analyses and forecasts. Following its opinion, the government in turn responds to the council’s recommendations. Now, Grimm predicts that the economy of the continent’s leading power will shrink by…

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European economy, In Europe 25th January 2023

Confidence in German economy improves. Ifo business climate index rises to 90.2 points in January, up from 88.6 in December

Ifo | This is due to considerably less pessimistic expectations. However, companies were somewhat less satisfied with their current situation. The German economy is starting the new year with more confidence. In the manufacturing sector, the index continued its upward trajectory. Companies assessed their current situation as better. Their expectations for the next six months are also noticeably better. The volume of orders is decreasing but remains at a high…

European economy 14th October 2022

Only One in Three German Companies Has an Emergency Plan for Energy

ifo | Only just under one-third of German companies has an emergency plan for dealing with the energy crisis. This is the result of the new Randstad ifo Personnel Manager Survey of 700 HR managers. “The smaller the company, the less often measures were in place. Among companies with more than 500 employees, 60 percent have taken appropriate precautions. For companies with up to 50 employees, the figure is only…

European economy 2nd September 2022

Situation In The German Automotive Industry Deteriorates Sharply

Ifo | The current situation in the German automotive industry deteriorated sharply in August. In the ifo survey, the value of the indicator fell to minus 10 points, down from plus 7.5 points in July. Expectations, however, brightened somewhat, from minus 4 points to zero. This is the first time since April that the overall climate was below zero. “The general darkening of mood in the economy is also reflected…

European economy, Relevant News Item 23rd August 2022

Business activity in Germany declines for second consecutive month; France activity also drops for first time in 18 months

The downturn in the German private sector economy deepened in August, as business activity fell for the second month running and at a fasterrate in August. This is according to the latest ‘flash’ PMI® data from S&P Global. The deepening downturn was linked by surveyed businesses to a combination of factors, S&P Global noted. These included uncertainty, high inflation and rising interest rates. That said, companies’ expectations registered an uptick…

European economy 14th March 2022

Stopping Russian Energy Imports Could Cost Germany 3 Percent of Annual Economic Output

Econ Pol Europe | In the short term, a halt to Russian energy imports could cost Germany up to 3 percent of its gross domestic product. This is the result of estimates by the EconPol Europe network calculated with a simulation model. Oil and coal could be replaced by imports from other countries, but it is harder to find replacements for gas, the authors write. “Germany should take quick and…

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