J.P. Marín-Arrese | 2022 has witnessed an unmitigated rout in shares and bonds. The coming months might turn into additional bleeding as persistent inflationary pressures and robust employment data entice the central banks to tighten their monetary knot further. Other concerns also sap the investors’ risk appetite. China faces harsh times should it prove unable to cope with its endless pandemic stroke. Downbeat sales and profit prospects will soon surface…
Crédito y Caución (Atradius) | The global economy is facing an unprecedented mix of challenges which are bringing it to the brink of recession in 2023. Stubborn inflation is the most dire challenge, which has far-reaching knock-on effects across the entire economy. We now find ourselves in a much-feared ‘stagflation’ reality – one characterised by low GDP but high price growth. Central banks have undertaken an aggressive tightening path to…
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)’s analysts, in their new economic growth projections for 2022 and 2023, have revised Spain’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth for 2022 upwards by three tenths of a percentage point to 4.4% compared with their June estimate. Meanwhile, they have lowered their projection for Spanish GDP growth in 2023 by seven tenths of a percentage point to 1.5%. With regard to inflation, the…
Andrew Sheng via Caixin | The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has declared that the global economic recovery is broadening amidst buoyant markets. Its global financial stability report argued that there is a good chance for a sustained recovery and the eventual normalization of monetary policy.
J.L. M. Campuzano (Spanish Banking Association) | The World Bank is predicting an acceleration in global growth rate for this year of up to 2.7%, after the lowest level of growth in the wake of the Crisis estimated last year. In general, the latest global economic data is fuelling optimism.
Caixin | As two of the most significant economies driving global growth today, commentators often compare the emerging market behemoths, China and India. In recent times, the two countries have eclipsed Brazil, Russia and South Africa, their BRICS counterparts, in terms of economic growth. However, there are significant differences between the two Asian economies.
Francisco López |The OECD has once again downgraded its outlook for global growth, especially for the Eurozone. It will only grow 1.4% this year, almost half a percentage point less than the previous forecast in November. But is the downwards revision the result of the sharp drop in share prices, or is it the stock market which is in fact anticipating that growth will slow in the coming months?
Markets, especially stocks exchanges, will continue to suffer from a slowdown in global growth. IMF managing director Christine Lagarde warned on Tuesday that expansion in EM as well as in developed ones will be “weaker” than expected in July.
There has been a severe downward correction in global expectations in August.
CAMBRIDGE | June 15, 2015 | By Prof. Jagjit S. Chadha via Deutsche AWS | Could rising rates choke off the recovery or have post-crisis wounds healed sufficiently for the global system to take tightening policy in its stride?