liquidity

Liquidity

Eurozone liquidity falls 12% in three months

Morgan Stanley analysts explain that excess liquidity in the European market multiplied in the post-Covid phase: from €1.7tn in December 2019 to a peak of €4.8tn in September 2022 and this increase helped stabilise the equity market during 2020. But “in the last three months we have seen this excess liquidity reduce by -12% (part of the ECB’s plan, by ending APP reinvestments and reducing TLTROs)


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The high yield investment case revisited

Guest Post by Olivier Debat (UBP) | High yield CDS indices combine a liquidity advantage, an interest rate advantage (no exposure) and a valuation advantage. Thus, we believe that investors concerned about high yield liquidity, its sensitivity to rates or its valuation should switch to high yield CDS indices to gain exposure to the high yield market.


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ECB: Not only a question of liquidity

LONDON | By Barclays analysts | The two most important events for the market are at the end of the week – the ECB meeting and US employment report. Although no policy change is expected from the ECB, the market will be paying close attention to cues for a potential move in December.


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U.S. Government Shutdown: A Storm Pushes Through the Markets

MADRID | By Luis Arroyo |The clock is ticking: if Congress can’t agree to budget terms, parts of the federal government will shut down by Monday midnight. But markets have reacted differently than expected to this political pulse between Democrats and Republicans.


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What is the European Central Bank waiting for?

MADRID | Risk premium is attaining no-return levels. But this time any prospect of bailing out either Spain or Italy seems utterly out of reach. The EU rescue fund simply lacks enough muscle. Its depleted coffers are unable to provide any sustainable respite to the on-going crisis. Even if it had the money, it is highly questionable it would thwart the current wild burst of uncertainty now raging on uncontrollably across…


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The ECB injects oxygen: the euro breathes

MADRID | Original post on republica.com | The European government, which some now call ‘governance’, has not been doing well for quite a few years. The expansion of the club during the last two decades has caused chronic indigestion, and a loss of perspective and project steam. The Single European Act (last decade of the XX century) meant a decisive step forward for a united Europe at peace, free, and…


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Why investors punish Apple: liquidity, growth and apocalypse

By Luis Arroyo, in Madrid | The FT has published a very good article by John Authers on the unusual business practice that American companies maintain with their shareholders. As Authers says, at present, non-financial companies possess a cash cushion of 6% of their total assets, something that has never been witnessed in the last six decades. The companies, with large profits (profits have risen to their highest level since the…


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Circulation velocity of money, from 1.1 to 0.59: it's big time the ECB, Fed react

By Luis Arroyo, in Madrid | The Ralphanomics blog has a post on velocity of circulation of money that brings a very interesting intuitive graph: how the velocity of money (M1) has changed since the crisis began. Against this variable, there is a comparison to the 1930s Great Depression –the black line at the right angle, between 1920 and 1932. The velocity of money is simply the GDP divided by money…


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Circulation velocity of money, from 1.1 to 0.59: it’s big time the ECB, Fed react

By Luis Arroyo, in Madrid | The Ralphanomics blog has a post on velocity of circulation of money that brings a very interesting intuitive graph: how the velocity of money (M1) has changed since the crisis began. Against this variable, there is a comparison to the 1930s Great Depression –the black line at the right angle, between 1920 and 1932. The velocity of money is simply the GDP divided by money…