macroeconomics

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West keeps close eye on digital renminbi (which does pay interest)

Western countries are working on digital currencies that do not pay interest, so as not to compete with commercial banks. However, China and its mBridge project, through which it has launched the digital renminbi, do allow users to earn returns. Analysed by Consejeros Editorial Team Until now, the debate surrounding the digital renminbi and the mBridge Project (the platform developed by China in collaboration with the Bank for International Settlements…


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IEA warns: if Strait of Hormuz not fully reopened “within weeks, not months”, global economy will suffer as stocks run out

Report by Renta 4 European markets opened lower (Eurostoxx futures down 0.8%, S&P 500 down 0.8%, Nasdaq 100 down 1.6%), with profit-taking continuing, particularly amongst chip and memory manufacturers (yesterday Nasdaq down 1.6%), and this is also being felt in Asia (Japan down 5%; South Korea closed for a public holiday), despite strong results in recent days (TSMC, Samsung) and in a market that is questioning the sustainability of valuations,…


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36 per cent of countries still lack tools to monitor air quality

Reported by the Editorial Team According to an article published by the World Economic Forum, air pollution is the greatest global environmental risk, causing 6.7 million premature deaths and an economic cost of 8.1 trillion dollars annually (6 per cent of global GDP). Despite the severity of the problem, the authors point out that there is a significant information gap: in 2024, 36 per cent of countries lacked air quality…


Fed Kevin Warsh Presidente Reunion Junio 26

Pimco rules out Fed rate rise for whole of 2026 following latest inflation figures

Analysed by Tiffany Wilding Both headline and core CPI inflation came in lower than expected in June. Headline CPI fell by 0.4 per cent month-on-month, bringing the year-on-year rate down to 3.5 per cent, as a fall of approximately 10 per cent in energy prices combined with unexpectedly subdued core inflation. Core CPI remained unchanged over the month. What does this mean? It is important to note that the details…


US worker

Labour markets in OECD countries remain strong, but real wages continue to lag behind

Reported by Consejeros Editorial Team The OECD Employment Outlook 2026 report notes that labour markets in member countries remain in a strong position, with record levels of employment and historically low unemployment rates. In May 2026, employment stood at 670 million people, 26 per cent higher than in 2001, and is forecast to continue growing moderately throughout 2026 and 2027. Similarly, the unemployment rate stood at 4.9 per cent and…


estrecho ormuz petroleros

Tensions between Trump and rest of world flaring up again, but IMF believes global economy has weathered war better than expected

Report by Renta 4 European markets opened higher (Eurostoxx 50 futures up 1%) following a session on Wall Street that started slowly but ended strongly, leading to a recovery of 1%–1.5% in the main US indices, as well as gains in futures (S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 up 0.2%–0.3%). All this despite the escalating tensions between the US and Iran, which have pushed Brent crude up by 9% over the…


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Invesco, underweight in Taiwan and South Korea. “We may be seeing a bubble in these markets”

Reported by Julia Pastor Invesco’s outlook for the second half of the year has changed little from that published by the firm at the start of the year. The outlook for economic growth and inflation is less favourable now, but not enough to trigger negative returns on global equities. Thus, and despite all the disruptions that have occurred up to July (the rapid advance of AI, geopolitical tensions and their…


Spain emplyment workers

Absenteeism continues to rise in Spain, with the Basque Country now at 9.4 per cent of agreed hours

The national average has risen by two tenths of a percentage point to 7.2 per cent in Q1 26. By region, the Basque Country leads the national absenteeism figures with 9.4 per cent of agreed hours. It is followed by Asturias (9.1 per cent) and the Canary Islands (8.9 per cent). At the other end of the scale, the Community of Madrid is surpassed only by the Balearic Islands, which…


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Oil slowing down, but not derailing disinflation, according to Generali

Paolo Zanghieri Inflation remains the main constraint for the Federal Reserve, but the factors driving it are likely to matter more than the headline figure. Core PCE stood at 3.4 per cent in May and could remain at uncomfortable levels in the short term, although we expect it to peak shortly and fall to 3.1 per cent year-on-year in the fourth quarter, 0.1 percentage points below the Federal Open Market…


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US employment figures ease pressure on interest rates, according to Mutualidad

Analysed by Pedro del Pozo US employment figures have become the key benchmark for the markets. The latest figures reveal that it has not been a good result, but precisely because it is not it may be well received by investors. Job creation has come in well below expectations and, furthermore, the previous figure has been revised downwards. This may help to ease one of the main sources of tension…