Top Stories

oil prices

Oil

Markets, Opinion, World economy 7th January 2020

Oil: 2020 Spells Geopolitics For Energy

Norbert Rücker (Julius Baer) |  The oil market is off to a rocky start as the tensions between the United States and Iran escalate. The situation brings lots of uncertainty and geopolitical tea-leaf reading on reactions. While the closure of the Strait of Hormuz remains a very unlikely event, the deterioration in Iraq bears supply risks. Geopolitics tend to be a temporary force on oil markets and we believe this time is no different. We raise our near-term forecast to USD 65 per barrel, and maintain a Neutral view on oil.

 

oil

World economy 13th June 2019

Oil Prices: Dipping Below 60 $ As Fears Become Fact

The Corner | For the second time this month, oil prices dropped below 60 $ per barrel. Growth concerns and a bearish market mood drove the latest sell-off, but fundamentals are now adding to the price pressure. US oil inventories swelled unexpectedly and led to a drop in oil prices.

repsol

Ibex 22nd May 2019

Repsol: intuitive purchase with short term potential return of 10%

Morgan Stanley |  With oil up 30% YTD, fairly decent quarterly figures, dividends easily covered, with potential to grow and clearly above a market without upside, and with a process of positive profit revisions, we insist in dedicating half an hour to two ideas which are now being oversold and which have lost all they gained in Q1 and which their high dividend is clearly attractive in the market and which we believe could have returns of around 10% in the relatively short term.

oil futures

World economy 22nd October 2018

What If Oil Goes To $100?

Brent oil prices are up more than 30% this year and have reached levels last seen in 2014. BoAML’s team on Commodities have revised up their forecasts; they now expect Brent to peak at $95/bbl by the end of 2Q 2019. They also consider the impact on global growth of an even larger and more sustained oil spike. Specifically discuss the factors that could drive oil prices to $100/bbl, and hash out the winners and losers.

The Strait of Hormuz was temporarily closed by Iran

World economy 28th September 2018

Oil Prices: What If The Strait Of Hormuz Was Temporarily Closed By Iran?

A key issue that President Trump’s speech at the UN General Assembly helped highlight was the rising tensions in the Gulf. As one measure of this, analysts at BNY Mellon note that “while it’s tempting to dismiss this as saber-rattling by both sides, the debate over Iran’s ability to close the Strait of Hormuz has been going on since the early 1980s.”

oilprices

World economy 6th July 2018

What’s Behind The Rise In The Oil Price?

The oil price has risen 70% in the last 12 months, from 45$/ barrel for Brent in June 2017 to around 80$ in May 2018. Thus, after three years of low prices, crude has returned to levels not seen since the end of 2014. What are the forces behind this increase in oil price? Could it damage the world economy?

oilprices

World economy 29th May 2018

Oil Sector: What Goes Up, Must Come Down

For any investor who believes that $70/barrel is more or less the right price, then the European oil firms are currently fairly priced. Alphavalue recently upped their earnings forecasts to include $70/barrel as a new normality. This leaves the sector with an upside potential of +6% on a 6-month horizon.