USA

EEUU deficit comercial

US trade deficit narrows sharply in April following 19.8% month-on-month drop in imports, largest ever

Bankinter | The US trade deficit narrows sharply following the largest ever drop in imports (19.8% month-on-month), while exports grew by 3.4%. The item where the reduction in the deficit is most evident is in consumer goods (down $49.276 billion in April against $80.843 billion previously). After the sharp increase in the deficit in Q1 2025 to avoid the impact of tariffs, imports are normalising, softening the impact on the…


Trump Aranceles

Trump’s tariff moderation lifts Conference Board consumer confidence in US by 12.3 points to 98 in May

Singular Bank | In May, the Conference Board’s US consumer confidence index rose 12.3 points to 98.0, after five consecutive months of declines, up from 87.1 expected and 85.7 previous (revised from 86.0). The improvement is explained by the moderation of uncertainty following the US trade agreement with the UK and the 90-day tariff pause with China. Against this backdrop, the current situation index in May increased by 4.8 points…



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US rating downgrade to Aa1 from Aaa reflects “more than a decade-long rise in government debt ratios”, says Moody’s

Bankinter | Moody’s downgrades the US credit rating to Aa1 (Stable) from Aaa (Negative). According to the agency, it “reflects the increase over more than a decade in government debt and interest payment ratios to levels significantly above those of countries with similar ratings”. Analysis team’s view: It is the last of the three rating agencies to cut the triple-A; Fitch and S&P were already at AA+ Stable. S&P did…


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Trump’s fiscal plan includes proposal to increase debt by $4 billion

Norbolsa | Republicans introduce the fiscal plan in Congress, which includes the tax cuts promised by Trump during his campaign (making the tax cuts from the first term permanent; tax exemptions for tips, overtime, private education payments, pensions and local tax cuts). No estimate of the cost (revenue shortfall from the plan) has been provided, which they hope to offset with cuts to the Medicaid healthcare programme, other spending cuts…


China EEUU choque 1

US and China suspend most tariffs on each other’s products for 90 days

Link Securities | According to the Wall Street Journal, the United States and China announced that they had agreed to suspend most tariffs on each other’s products for a period of 90 days while trade negotiations continue. The United States announced that it would reduce its ‘reciprocal’ tariff on Chinese products from 145% to 30%. China announced that it would reduce its tariff on US products from 125% to 10%….


EEUU deficit comercial

US imports increase 4.4% to new record high of $419 billion

Link Securities | The Department of Commerce reported that the US trade deficit stood at $140.5 billion in March, reaching a new monthly record and exceeding the $132.4 billion projected by the FactSet consensus of analysts. In February, the trade deficit stood at $123.2 billion. In March, imports rose 4.4%, reaching a new all-time high of $419 billion, as many customers brought forward purchases in anticipation of the upcoming tariff…


eeuu mercado laboral

US non-farm job creation in April beats expectations, but previous record revised downward

Bankinter | Non-Farm Job Creation (April) beats expectations, but revises downward from previous record: 177K against 138K expected and 185K previous. Unemployment Rate repeats at 4.2% as expected and Average Wages/Hour remain at 3.8% year-on-year versus 3.9% year-on-year expected. Bankinter’s analysis team’s view: The data as a whole is consistent and, therefore, positive in the current context in which the US economy finds itself. The labour market continues to show…


TrumpVsPowell

Trump U-turns again: now says he never intended to fire Powell, but calls for more decisiveness on rate cuts

Link Securities | Speaking to reporters, US President Donald Trump said he never intended to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, saying it was “media fabrications”. Trump repeated his criticism of Powell and said he would like Powell to be more active in lowering interest rates, but even if he did not, it would not have to mean his dismissal. Concerns about this possible dismissal were heightened by comments from…


donald trump

Trump says Powell doesn’t know what he’s doing and calls for interest rate cuts

Link Securities | As reported by various agencies (Bloomberg, Reuters), the US president’s economic adviser, Kevin Hassett, indicated last Friday that the Trump administration was still considering whether to fire US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Hassett accused Powell of playing politics from his post, while US President Donald Trump, for his part, indicated that Powell did not know what he was doing, and again advocated interest rate cuts over…