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Europe: Clouds are slowly lifting
LONDON | By Barclays analysts | We expect Europe to experience a long period of moderate economic growth, coupled with very low inflation: for the EU28, GDP should grow 1.5% in 2014 and accelerate to 1.7% in 2015, while inflation should bottom at 1.2% in 2014 before edging up slightly, to 1.4%, in 2015.
Will China Mobile and Apple Finally Make a Deal?
BEIJING | By Qin Min at Caixin | U.S. tech giant Apple and Chinese telecoms company have been at loggerheads since the first iPhone launched, but there are signs they are inching toward a deal.
Cyprus in 2014: Looking ahead
By Alexander Apostolides via The Agora | Cyprus has the habit of grabbing international attention in a global way, only to then be marginalised as a footnote when the immediate crisis seems to have abated. This has been historically true in issues of communal violence and the Annan plan, in what we Cypriots call “the original Cyprus problem”. Sadly for Cyprus, this is also seems to hold true in regards to its financial crisis.
U.S.: Stumbling Toward Fiscal Stability
LONDON | By Barry Knapp at Barclays | Tuesday night’s two-year budget agreement between the heads of the House and Senate Budget Committees, Paul Ryan and Patty Murray, looks to be the culmination of a difficult process that has succeeded in stabilizing the US federal government fiscal position for the investable horizon. We have maintained that, since 2010, public policy uncertainty – stemming in part from government spending reaching a post-WWII high, and the associated budget deficit –has helped weaken business confidence and investment.
Spain’s Banco Popular Gets $621 Million From Mexico Investor Group
MADRID | By The Corner Team | Mexican investors, such as Grupo Financiero Ve Por Mas among others, will invest 450 million euros ($621 million) in Banco Popular Español SA (POP), thus acquiring a 6 percent stake in Spanish bank.
*PHOTO by Bloomberg.
Santander to Buy Stake in Bank of Shanghai for $647M
MADRID | As part of its strategy to increase its presence in China, the Spanish lender Banco Santander will buy an 8 percent stake in Bank of Shanghai for 470 million euros. The deal includes a cooperation agreement between both entities and makes Santander the second-largest shareholder in BoS.
Mandela’s Legacy Can Be Tricky
MADRID | By Alex García.
ECB: Mr. Coeure doesn´t have a “heart”
SAO PAOLO | By Marcus Nunes | ECB Executive Board member Benoit Coeuret told a journalist club on Monday night that the European Central Bank was ready to act, but that the euro zone was not edging towards a dangerous fall in prices.
The Japan macro trade: Watch Japanese investors in 2014
LONDON | By Jim McCormick, Anando Maitra and Sree Kochugovindan at Barclays | Nearly a year ago to the day, the LDP and its leader, Shinzo Abe, won a landslide victory in the Japanese elections. Since then, it has been an extraordinary twelve months for Japan. GDP growth is set to be the highest of all major economies, by a good margin. Inflation and inflation expectations are at the highest levels in some time. The equity market has surged 75% since the election, and the trade-weighted yen has fallen 30%.



