Market concerns persist, and there seems nothing in the short term that will change this. In fact, the latest ECB Financial Stability Report gave evidence of the nest of problems and risks in which we have found ourselves for some time, while recalling the downside balance of current risks, analysts at Intermoney point out.
David F. Lafferty (Natixis) | Volatility has returned and the red hot stock market that began the year has now downshifted closer to neutral. While the macro data continues to be lackluster – consistent with our view that the global economy is decelerating towards potential – much of the recent malaise has been driven by the on-again, now off-again US/China trade negotiations.
Link Securities | We highlight the negative impact that the new conflict between the European Commission (EC) and the populist government of Italy is having on the European securities markets and on the euro. Rome has not taken the necessary measures to contain the public deficit, which it will lead to a further increase in Italian public debt, whose weight could surpass 135% of GDP in two years.
José Benito de Vega | In the last twelve months, the Spanish firm Vidrala has had a better stock performance than the IBEX35, with a revaluation of 1% compared to a decrease of 8% in the index, although the stock has not been spared from moments of volatility.
Bankinter | The private sectors credit stock increases +3.4% in April (vs +3.2% before). A strong performance in company credit stands out (+3.9% vs 3.6% before) as well as credit for buying houses (+3.6% vs +3.5% before).
Renta 4 | On 13 June the Ibex´s Technical Advisory Committee will hold a routine meeting. If we look at the volumes traded over the last 6 months, MasMovil is a clear candidate to enter.
Morgan Stanley | Fitch has raised its rating perspective for Portugal to positive. This was unexpected and seems to support the market thesis that Portugal’s fundamentals are at similar levels to Spain and Italy. Our macro analysts agree but see posible downside risks.
Bankinter | The rate of Spanish banks´non-performing loans fell in March to 5.73% (-1.07 pp m/m), the lowest level since 2010. It is good news for the sector, which confirms the improvement in the credit quality indices observed in recent years. Bad debt is therefore distancing itself from the highs of 2013 when it reached 13.61% in the middle of the economic crisis in various Eurozone countries.
Bankinter | Iberdrola has detailed a little more the destinations for its investments in the 2018-22 Strategic Plan. The principal destination will be the US, where it counts on its subsidiary Avangrid and where it will invest a total of 12 Bn$ (10.7 Bn€) over the next few years. It foresees investing 6.5 Bn€ in Brazil and 4.5 Bn€ in Mexico.
Santander Corporate & Investment | The publication of results is nearing its end, and European company profits have shown resilience in face of a global environment dominated by uncertainty: the trade war, volatility in emerging markets and weakness in their currencies, Brexit, the growth of populism etc. Spanish companies are very exposed to international markets, given that only a third of their benefits come from the domestic market.