Eurostat has released data on public debt and deficit at the end of the third quarter of the previous year for the euro area and the EU-27. And in both statistics, the Spanish economy has not fared very well in relation to its European neighbours: Spain ranks fourth among European countries with the highest debt-to-GDP ratio (at the end of the third quarter of last year). This is part of…
CdM| Eurozone government debt has fallen to 89.9% of GDP in the third quarter of 2023. According to data from Eurostat, the EU’s statistical office, this figure reflects a fall of four tenths of a percentage point from the figure for the second quarter of last year (90.3%), while the public deficit fell to 2.8% from 3% in the previous quarter. In the European Union, government debt also declined from…
Bankinter| Some Heathrow shareholders have exercised their right of first refusal. The sale of the 25% stake held by Ferrovial has run into difficulties. Some Heathrow shareholders have exercised their right of first refusal on 35% of the capital. They are Caisse de Dépôt et Placement du Québec (12.62%), the Singapore sovereign wealth fund GIC (11.2%) and Australian Retirement Trust (11.18%). Although the agreement to sell the 25% stake held…
BancaMarch: Members of the ECB Council expect the new inflation projections published next March to be revised downwards. The current December forecasts foresee 2.7% in 2024 and 2.1% in 2025, without breaching the 2% red line until 2026 with expected inflation of 1.9%. However, the ECB indicates that these data could be more favourable, reaching the target level as early as 2025. While this is good news, the monetary authority…
Banca March: Yesterday confirmed the entry into recession of the German economy in 2023. Germany’s GDP fell by 0.3% for the year as a whole, after +1.8% in 2022, hurt by high inflation, rising interest rates and high energy costs. We highlight the negative performance of industry, down 2%, despite the positive contribution of the automotive sector and the manufacture of other transport equipment. There was also minimal growth in…
Morgan Stanley | Alain Gabriel highlights the news published by La Republicca that ArcelorMittal would be looking to sell its 40% stake in Acciaierie d’Italia (ADI), which has been underperforming (<4mta vs ~10mta). ADI’s earnings are not reported under Arcelor’s EBITDA, but under those of the Associates and JVs. Alain Gabriel estimates that EBIDA attributable to ADI was US$170mn in 2022. The article reported that Arcelor wanted to sell its…
The aerospace company last week reported 112 aircraft deliveries in December (vs. 64 in November ’23 and vs. 98 in December ’22), bringing the total in 2023 to 735 (vs 661 in 2022; +11%). Airbus thus beat the delivery target of 720 aircraft in ’23, also exceeding expectations (725 BS(e) aircraft). In addition, a total of 807 new orders and 108 cancellations were recorded during the month. Considering cancellations, net…
Alphavalue/DIVACONS | European gas prices are rising as Red Sea attacks highlight the risks to shipping. Meanwhile, as cold weather grips Europe, the demand for heating oil has been boosted. NYM HH Nat Gas is up +21.76% ytd, though it eased -4.08% on Wednesday.
Link Securities| Solaris Bus & Coach (a subsidiary of CAF (CAF)) will deliver hydrogen buses to another European city. The buses were ordered by Germany’s Rheinbahn Düsseldorf, according to CapitalBolsa.com on Tuesday. The bus manufacturer will supply the city of Düsseldorf with 10 Solaris Urbino 12 hydrogen buses. The ordered hydrogen buses will be an innovative way to boost sustainable transport in the city of Düsseldorf, which has set itself…
Bankinter: Industrial Production in November was worse than expected: -4.8% year-on-year versus -4.0% expected and -3.4% previously (revised from -3.5%). In monthly data: -0.7% month-on-month against +0.3% expected and -0.3% previously (revised from -0.4%). Bankinter assessment: Weak data. This is the sixth consecutive decline of the indicator in annual rate and reflects that the weakness of the manufacturing sector is still present. The slowdown in demand in a context of…