The Fed has lowered interest rates by 0.5 points, thus aligning with the market, which anticipated a roughly 70% probability of a 50 basis point cut. As a financial institution noted this morning, “the risk for credit markets is that a 50 basis point cut may be interpreted as an emergency measure. Consequently, the gradual approach and soft landing that have benefited this type of asset could be disrupted. On…
Intermoney | ACS (ACS) (Buy, Target Price €46/share) has confirmed in a conference held in New York that the Group will record an accounting loss of €860 million derived from the execution by the State of Texas, which will pay about $1,750 million, while the book enterprise value of the infrastructure was estimated at about €3,000 million, according to the newspaper Expansión. The Group, however, expects the final year-end impact…
Banca March: In the US, industrial production costs rose slightly more than expected on a monthly basis, limiting the possibility of a 50 b.p. cut by the Fed next week. On a month-on-month basis, producer prices rose by 0.2% in August, one tenth of a percentage point higher than expected and two tenths of a percentage point higher than in July. Similarly, if we exclude the more volatile components such…
Link Securities | The company has been awarded, through its subsidiaries OHLA Building and OHLA USA, two new projects in the US for a combined value of $350 million (about €330 million), according to the portal Bolsamania.com. The largest contract, valued at $228 million (around €214 million) and awarded to OHLA Building, includes the design and construction of new facilities for the correctional and rehabilitation centre in Miami-Dade County, Florida.
Bankinter | OPEC projects weaker oil demand for 2024 and 2025 in its monthly report. It estimates that it will grow in 2024 +1.99% year-on-year (versus +2.07% previously) or 2.03M bpd (versus 2.11M bpd previously) and in 2025 +1.67% (versus +1.71% previously) or 1.64M bpd (versus 1.74M bpd previously). This is the second consecutive month of downward revisions to global oil demand. Opinion of the Bankinter analysis team: Bad news…
Link Securities | According to a Reuters poll, a majority of economists surveyed believe that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut its policy rate by 25 basis points at each of the three remaining policy meetings this year (September, November and December). Moreover, only nine economists out of 101 surveyed expected a cut of half a percentage point next week, when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets, while 92…
Bankinter | Apple unveiled its new iPhone 16 on Monday to a lukewarm reception from the market. The expectation was high for the presentation of the new iPhone 16 model, given that they were the first models focused on taking advantage of AI. In this aspect, new functions stand out, such as the integration of ChatGPT within its voice assistant “Siri” and the ability to focus on an object with…
Bankinter : Trade Balance (August): $91,020M vs. $81,100M expected vs. $84,650M previous. Exports: +8.7% vs. +6.6% expected vs. +7.0% previous. Imports: +0.5% vs. +2.5% expected vs. +7.2% previously. Opinion of Bankinter’s analysis team: Import growth marks a two-year high, reflecting the dynamism of domestic demand, which is increasing this month. However, the sharp slowdown in exports, which were the key to the recovery of GDP in 2Q24, is a negative…
Bankinter | August CPI rises to +0.6% year-on-year from +0.5% previously, however, it is a tenth of a percentage point lower than expected. The Underlying Rate rose +0.3% year-on-year in August (up from +0.4% average) and registers the lowest rate since March 2021. (2) August Industrial Prices declined -1.8% year-on-year from -0.8% pre and worse than the expected -1.5% year-on-year. Bankinter’s analysis team’s opinion: The two price references show the…
Intermoney | US foreign trade posted a $78.8 billion deficit in July, which was within our forecast, widening the gap to the highest level in two years, driven by a surge in goods imports. But it also reflected the intention of companies to ensure adequate supply in the face of a possible dock workers’ strike, which led the value of imports of goods and services to rise by 2.1%. And…