Ofelia Marín- Lozano | The close to 40% drop in raw material prices over the last year has been taken as an unmistakable sign of a strong slowdown in China, auguring a very negative outlook for producing countries. But the market has seen that the alarm bells sounded over China have been clearly unfounded, as major global companies like Apple are still seeing high levels of sales in the country.
Fed President Janet Yellen has pointed out very politely that the law to reform the central bank is “a serious mistake.” She believes monetary policy cannot be linked to indicators like in a mathematical formula.
Wang Xiaoqing via Caixin | The huge e-commerce day is a windfall for Alibaba, but a headache for sellers and brand names, not to mention the economy.
UBS | We reviewed the financial statements of 134 banks to understand loan exposure by industry as well as to try to estimate the size of private – sector lending versus state – sector lending.
James Alexander via Historinhas | Every time I see the chart for US unemployment these days it looks like it is time for the trend to turn.
Richard N. Cooper via Caixin | Fourteen years ago, Jim O’Neill of Goldman Sachs coined the term BRIC to stand for Brazil, Russia, India and China – four large emerging economies that might together shape the world economy in the future. With the later addition of South Africa, they came to the agreement in 2015 to create a BRICS bank.
UBS | We believe the new proposed IPO process could improve liquidity and investor protection and is therefore a structural positive. IPO resumption would also mean some of the corporate would consider raising equity instead of bond and help channel some of the liquidity away from the bond market.
Marc Chandler via Caixin | A mountain peak is easier to see when viewed from a valley than from the summit. Similarly, it may be easier to understand the changes in China’s currency regime if we take a step back and try to look at the big picture: Beijing wants its currency added to the SDR mechanism for status reasons, not to benefit its exports.
UBS | 81 months and 200% higher, this US Equity and Derivatives’ Bull is the third longest since 1932 and surpasses the average of 138%. While age or return alone does not signal The End, increasing volatility, Fed rate hikes, and an M&A boom in its third year have all preceded past tops.
Caixin | The Communist Party’s 18th Central Committee released a proposal for a major economic development plan on October 29 at the end of a four-day plenum, the fifth time the body has met. In the proposal, the party notes that China still has a lot of room to grow, even though it is facing an array of challenges stemming from shifts in the domestic economy and uncertainty abroad.