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World economy 19th March 2025

OECD revises global growth estimates downwards and inflation estimates upwards for 2025 and 2026

Bankinter | The estimate of global growth for 2025 now stands at +3.1% from 3.3% previously and for 2026 at +3% from +3.3% previously. Canada and Mexico are the economies most negatively affected due to the impact of growing tariff tensions. In the United States, growth is now expected to be +2.2% by 2025 (+2.4% previously) and +1.6% by 2026 (2.1% previously). For Spain, the forecast has been revised upwards…

ferrovial 407

World economy 15th March 2025

Ferrovial increases stake in ETR to 48% after buying 5% for €1.34 billion

Intermoney | Ferrovial (FER) (Hold, PO €39) announced on Thursday an agreement with AtkinsRéalis, a Canadian engineering firm formerly known as SNC Lavalin Group, for the sale and purchase of 5.06% of the capital of the ETR407 motorway, for the sum of C$2.09 billion, or approximately €1.34 billion. Ferrovial thus increases its stake in ETR to 48.3%. Ferrovial will acquire 3.3% at the closing of the agreement, while the remaining…

Telefónica

World economy 13th March 2025

Telefónica sells Colombian subsidiary to Millicom for $400 million

Telefónica has agreed with Millicom to sell all the shares it holds in Colombia Telecomunicaciones, representing 67.5% of its share capital, for approximately $400 million, as reported by the company to the CNMV. This represents an equity value of more than seven times EBITDA and the deconsolidation of debt of nearly €1.2 billion. “This operation is part of the asset portfolio management policy of the Telefónica Group and is aligned…

CAF

World economy 12th March 2025

CAF subsidiary Solaris wins first contract in Canada to supply Translink with 107 trolleybuses for €120 million

Link Securities | The Canadian transport operator TransLink, from the city of Vancouver, has awarded Solaris, a subsidiary of CAF, the contract for the supply of 107 trolleybuses for approximately €120 million, with the option of increasing the number of units contracted. At the end of last year, Solaris announced that it had been awarded its first contract in the USA, specifically for the supply of electric buses to the…

FederalReserve

World economy 10th March 2025

Atlanta Fed forecasts US GDP to contract by 2.8% quarter-on-quarter in Q1 2025, compared to 2.3% growth expected two weeks ago

Last week, nearly all sectors of the S&P 500 weakened. The financial sector lost significant ground on the 4th (-4.67%), with stocks like Citi and Wells Fargo showing very poor performance. In the technology sector, the biggest setbacks were seen in Intel (-6.2%) and Tesla (-4.5%). President Donald Trump’s tariff policies can be seen as an act of ‘throwing stones on his own roof’ as they create uncertainty, which has…

repsol banderines

World economy 8th March 2025

As US withdraws Chevron’s licence to export crude from Venezuela, what will happen to Repsol’s strategic assets in Tomoporo and La Ceiba?

Banco Sabadell | According to press reports, the US has withdrawn Chevron’s licence to export crude oil from Venezuela, with the effective date of 3 April. This decision is in response to the failure of the Maduro government to fulfil its electoral commitments and is part of a package of extended sanctions that will also affect companies such as Halliburton, Schlumberger, Barker Hughes and Weatherford, which will have to suspend…

IAG

World economy 6th March 2025

IAG fears Trump’s trade war: 17% of 2024 income -€5,406 million- depended on US

Link Securities | The holding company IAG (IAG) fears that the trade war unleashed by US President Donald Trump since his arrival at the White House will affect its business with higher prices and less appetite for flying in general and, in particular, on routes to the United States, one of its main markets, according to Expansión. Last year, 17% of IAG’s income, or €5.406 billion, depended on the United…

Repsolito 1

World economy 4th March 2025

Repsol buys 40% of Unioil and strengthens presence in Philippines and rest of Southeast Asia

Renta 4 | Repsol has reached an agreement to acquire 40% of Unioil, a Philippine lubricant manufacturer. This acquisition will allow it to strengthen its presence in the Philippines and Southeast Asia and add a fifth manufacturing plant to those already existing in Spain, Mexico, Singapore and Indonesia. At the end of 2024, Unioil had a total production capacity of 25,000 tonnes. Assessment: Qualitatively positive news, which is in line…

chair powell

World economy 30th January 2025

Powell’s wait-and-see stance

Juan Pedro Marín Arrese | Jerome Powell made it clear at the press conference following the Fed’s meeting that he and his colleagues are in no hurry to adjust rates. They will only move should prices undertake further progress to converge with the 2% target or the economy markedly cool down, sharply deteriorating employment. Carefully avoiding casting comments on the new administration’s policies, he emphasised the Fed’s commitment to independence…

telefonica edificio

World economy 29th January 2025

Telefónica hires J.P. Morgan to study sale of HispAm subsidiary in Argentina

Renta 4 | Telefónica (TEF) has hired J.P. Morgan to study the sale of its subsidiary in Argentina, according to press reports. The potential buyers are local companies. MiliCom also stands out, to which Telefónica has already sold several Latin American subsidiaries and is in the process of selling the Colombian one. In addition, Telefónica Peru has sent a relevant fact in which it highlights that it is in talks…