World economy


Change of cycle to cyclical stocks to defensive

US Stock Market: Rational Exuberance?

CaixaBank Research (Adriá Morron and Alex Ruiz) | Since the lowest point recorded last March, the main index for the US equity has risen almost non-stop by around 70%. In recent weeks, this rally has also been accompanied by dynamics in certain US equity segments that are reminiscent of events followed by major stock market adjustments in the past. Is the US equity market decoupling from economic fundamentals?



investment banks

Dysfunctional Financial Markets Are Making Inequality Worse All The Time

Arman Hassanniakalager via The Conversation | The global market in government bonds has been bleeding red lately. The US ten-year strongly influences the price of everything from mortgages to business loans in the US, and by extension around the world, so such a sharp rise has the potential to reduce borrowing and weaken the economic recovery from COVID –especially when there is so much debt in the global system. 


FED 2016

Fed Underdelivers With Dovish Dot Plot Weighing On Dollar

Monex Europe | Chair Powell doubled down on the tone struck by the SEP and policy statement in his press conference yesterday emphasising the need to witness substantial progress in the recovery before signalling the exit of post-pandemic policy measures. The tone taken by Powell suggests the Federal Reserve will happily sit behind the curve as inflation overshoots in the coming years, helping to further push back rate expectations and anchor real rates in bond markets.

 


How a government shutdown affects the economy

The US Earmarks €3.3 Tr To Fight The Effects Of The Pandemic; The EU Has Not Yet Disbursed Even €750 Bn

Pablo Pardo (Washington) | What if it turns out that we are going to come out of the Covid-19 recession too quickly? In Europe that sounds like a joke, of course, thanks to the disaster organized by the European Commission with the purchase of the vaccines, and the insistence of the northern EU countries that no funds should be committed for the revival of the lazy southern ones. But that is not the case in the US, where the vaccine campaign is going much faster, and the public authorities have not been shy about spending to stimulate the economy.


bond vigilantes

Are The Bond Vigilantes Back?

Portcolom AV | In the 1980s, “bond vigilantes” began to be referred to as the watchdogs of the economy. It was said that if the monetary and fiscal authorities did not regulate the economy properly, bond investors would. So if a central bank, for example, lagged in its monetary policies, the watchers would force it to act through pressure on bond market prices. Will the bond vigilantes return considering the attitude of central banks and governments in the face of rising inflation?


Xpeng G3 3

Beyond Tesla: Electric Cars Shift Into The Fast Lane

Kaitlyn Murphy , Wenjie Ge & Chris Buchbinder (Capital Group) | Ladies and gentlemen, start your batteries. Sure, we’ve been hearing about the advent of the electric car for a long time. But evidence is mounting that it has already arrived — ahead of schedule. Consider this: General Motors announced in January that it will stop manufacturing gas- and diesel-powered cars by 2035. This after Volkswagen, Europe’s largest automaker, disclosed plans to invest $86 billion to develop electric vehicles, digital factories and self-driving cars over the next five years.


US american rescue 1

The US Delivers $1.9 Trillion Jolt Of Economic Relief: 4 Essential Reads

Bryan Keogh via The Conversation| The U.S. economy and millions of people struggling because of the pandemic are about to get a US$1.9 trillion jolt of stimulating relief. On March 10, the House of Representatives approved a version of President Joe Biden’s coronavirus package that barely squeezed through the Senate. Both votes were almost entirely along party lines. Biden signed the bill into law on March 11.  We turned to our archive to provide some context on this historic legislation. 


walmart

Walmart Will Earmark $290 Bn Over 10 Years To Buy Products Made In The US

Walmart estimates the acquisition of these products, destined for sale in its stores, will mean the creation of 750,000 jobs in the country over the next few years. The company has specified that its efforts will focus on six main product categories: plastics, textiles, small appliances, processed food, medical and pharmaceutical goods, and products for its own non-sales operations.