World economy

BRICS

BRICS contemplate enlargement at Johannesburg Summit

Banca March: More than 60 developing countries from Latin America, Africa and Asia are attending the meeting, which has been running since Tuesday and will continue until Thursday. During these days, the BRICS are considering adding new members from among 23 possible candidates that have not yet been revealed, although there is speculation about countries such as Iran, Venezuela and Saudi Arabia, among others. The terms of admission remain undefined,…


China

Negative news from China continues

Renta 4 : Stock markets open lower again (Eurostoxx -0.3%, S&P flat), after negative closes in the US and Asia. As for central banks, Norway’s central bank unanimously raised rates by +25 bps, in line with expectations, to 4%, and anticipated more hikes in September, arguing that inflation is still not under control. A monetary policy direction that contrasts with that of other countries where they have already started to…


natural gas

Australian strikes and competition from Asia make gas futures rally for second time in a week

Norbolsa| The European natural gas futures market rallied for the second time in less than a week, with the market becoming increasingly stressed by the possibility of strikes in Australia at companies that operate almost 10% of global LNG. Although Europe is not a regular buyer of LNG, the shock comes from competition with Asia for supplies and with the winter season approaching.


oil plataform

Global crude oil demand hit a record 102 mb/d in June and could hit another in August

Link Securities | The EFE news agency reported that, in its monthly report on the world oil market, published on Friday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said that global demand for crude oil reached a record 102 million barrels per day (mbd) in June. Last month demand fell slightly to 100.9 mbd. However, the IEA believes that another record could be seen in August. This higher demand is encouraged by…


Country Garden copia

China’s largest developer, Country Garden, may have defaulted on two bond coupons over the weekend

Bankinter| China’s largest developer, Country Garden, may have defaulted on two bonds over the weekend. Its size is four times that of Evergrande. On the other hand, Chinese asset manager Zhongrong International may not have repaid capital and coupons on some of its real estate vehicles. Assessment: Bad news, which once again puts the Chinese real estate sector in check and is a consequence of the government’s scant measures to…


nasdaq pantallas

Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon and Tesla to all see their Nasdaq weights reduced from Monday

Bankinter: The Nasdaq will start trading this Monday with the new adjustment of the weights of its components. The Nasdaq can perform a special rebalancing when the aggregate weighting of the stocks in its index with an individual weighting of more than 4.5% exceeds 48% of the index total. The rebalancing aims to reduce this weighting to a maximum of 40%. The final weightings have not yet been published, although…


Reino Unido economia

UK CPI stands at 7.9% year-on-year in June, first time below +8% in over a year

Banca March: The latest UK inflation data has surprised on the downside as it has moderated more than expected. The UK economy’s CPI slowed its pace of growth in June, rising +7.9% year-on-year versus +8.7% the previous month. In addition, the underlying rate also showed positive signs as it moderated by two tenths to +6.9%, with services inflation also moderating by two tenths to +7.2%. These data surprised on the…


G20

G20 in India discusses reform of multilateral agreements between development banks

Banca March: G20 finance ministers and central bankers meet in India to discuss reforming multilateral arrangements between development banks and easing the debt burden on developing countries. Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has held talks with her Indian counterpart Nirmala Sitharaman with the aim of strengthening relations with the Asian country.


China

China’s GDP data point to need for stimulus, but will it come?

China published its second-quarter GDP data on Monday with a big – but disappointing – number, 6.3% growth year on year. The reason for the disappointment comes from the hugely positive base effect, as last year’s second-quarter GDP growth was virtually because of the severe lockdowns happening in Shanghai and elsewhere in the country. The underwhelming growth in the second quarter is not all about the lack of external demand….


SP500

S&P 500 being close to a correction ought not change anything

Renta 4| The rise of the S&P 500 is starting to show signs of excesses in the short term, such as the appearance of bearish divergences at high overbought levels or the excessive complacency readings in sentiment indicators. The proximity of a corrective leg in the coming weeks would not be surprising nor would it undermine the good momentum as long as the American benchmark remains above its main short-term…