Poor EZ macro data raise odds for QEII

industrial production

“We think that an increasingly jeopardized recovery combined with a further slide in inflation expectations across maturities has increased the probability of full-fledged QE, including government bonds (QE II). Furthermore, the likelihood that the ECB will have to go down that road earlier than Q1 2015 has also risen, in our view,” Barclays analysts commented on Monday.

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