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Lies, damned lies and BFA accounting

MADRID | Ever since double entry accounting was developed in Middle Age Italy, banks have been able to mask shortcomings till the very verge of their implosion. After all, in every single balance sheet, assets always match liabilities to the last penny. The figures’ real value just becomes a matter of opinion, as recent discomfitures have shown. Lehman Brothers led the way many others have followed. The turn has come now…


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This is what Germany must accept if the euro is to survive

By Luis Arroyo, in Madrid | In brief, Germany would lose out in competitiveness with the rest of the world, were it to accept a monetary expansion policy. Germany is a big exports country, not just to the euro zone but to the outside, too. Check the graph as a proof. Foreign manufacturing orders from the rest of the world, in fact, are growing up quickly while demand from the…


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First exchange traded funds to provide targeted exposure on euro debt

LONDON | The exchange traded funds or ETF platform of global investment company BlackRock on Wednesday announced the launch of eight funds that will provide targeted exposure to the sovereign debt of eight euro zone countries. The launch pushes on the expansion of iShares’ fixed income range to meet growing interest in fixed income ETFs, and to satisfy demand for more specific exposures within the asset class, iShares said. iShares…


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Austerity haunts Germany: Wednesday’s chart

All the way from Afi analysts in Madrid, we got this simple and colourful chart comparing purchasing managers index figures of different countries in September 2011 (because it was the month when global manufacturing activity recorded the latest lowest levels) and March-April 2012, with a third column that brings up the variation between those dates. The fact is that cyclical divergence between the euro zone and the rest of the…


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BANKIA rescue does lift uncertainties, for the moment being

MADRID | Rescuing BANKIA will contribute to cut short doubts on short-term Spanish banking solvency. It was no secret that BANKIA was thrown in deep waters by the demanding government requirement to uplift real estate portfolio, having the dubious merit to top the list of entities laden with bad loans. Its intention to mend this state and play on its own gathered widespread disbelief, as big potential partners turned their backs…


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Greece and the bond maturity guillotine

LONDON/MADRID | On May 15, Greece faces a €436-million bill in maturities of State bonds issued under international law. Will the Hellenic Treasury pay investors back? In Madrid, Afi analysts told clients the probabilities of defaulting in some of the bonds that did not participate in the last debt restructuring deal are extremely high. They mentioned as one the causes the current complexity of Greek politics after an election result that…


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Foreign private equity funds feed on Spain’s real estate crisis

MADRID | The severe crisis in Europe and especially in Spain, Italy and Portugal has attracted some of the main actors of the private equity scene. According to Capital Madrid, one of the biggest firms in the sector, Apax Partners, has put its focus on the financial assets accumulated by the Spanish banks and that will shortly be going out for sale. Indeed, the difficult time many Spanish banks go through…


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The euro area will survive current austerity, NIESR forecasts

LONDON | The National Institute of Economic and Social Research in London said the European Monetary Union will take a long year and a mild recession before finding its way towards growth. The UK’s economy would evolve along the same path. In a prospect note, analysts at the NIESR indicated that their baseline forecast is for global growth of 3.7 percent in 2012. Growth will accelerate to 4 percent in 2013. “We…


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Weekend link fest

A curated selection of links we hope can enlighten us all; some come from our corner, some do from other corners of the net. And as always, our comment widgets are anxious to get your suggestions. Facebook? That was something for my father Will we miss Sarko? Neither religion, nor philosophy: physics, I tell you Germany doesn’t show any respect The euro, that sentiment Hollande is a menace for you, too…


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Bien! Unemployment numbers in Spain reduced by 6,632 people

MADRID | The number of unemployment benefit claimants in Spain in April fell by 6,632, bringing the total down to 4,744,235 people according to data released Friday by the ministry of Employment and National Insurance. Although this is the first decline in eight months, analysts pointed out that the little improvement in unemployment figures was mainly due to temporary hiring during Easter and was lower than expected. On average, experts polled…