The invisible virtuous circle
Why can’t Spain’s current strong growth be sustainable?
growth
Spain Q2 GDP growth outpaces most of eurozone
MADRID | Global GDP showed a moderate growth recovery in the second quarter. In Spain, forecasts point to GDP growth accelerating again to 1% Q0Q, one of the highest rates in the eurozone.
Spain in “solid recovery mode” (Barclays)
The Corner | July 23, 2015 | The Spanish economy grew by 0.9% q/q in Q1 15. Q2 data suggest that activity accelerated to 1.1% q/q, taking full-year 2015 growth to 3.3%, on Barclays estimates. “We think that the risks to the Spanish growth outlook are balanced, especially as the likelihood of Grexit has dropped,” the bank analysts commented on their July economic bulletin.
Spain: Now is the time to win the election
BARCELONA | July 17, 2015 | By Joan Tapia | The lowering of the income tax while taking money from the country’s pension funds can only be justified as a way to inject optimism before the election.
Spain growth will beat US in 2015 (IMF)
The Corner | July 9, 2015 | Updating its World Economic Outlook, the International Monetary Fund cut its world growth forecast (3.3 %from 3.5%) in 2015, downplayed the Greek drama and said it expects Spain to grow more than the US.
Spanish GDP could grow up to 3.3% in 2015
The Corner | June 21, 2015 | Rating agency Moody’s expects Spanish GDP to grow by 2.7% in 2015 and highlights the employment creation in the last quarter of 2014. But the country still “faces important challenges such as a public deficit that might hamper growth in the mid term.”
Cheap euro boosts Spanish exports
MADRID | May 22, 2015 | By Francisco López | The Spanish economy is beating new records mainly thanks to external factors. According to the latest data, exports of goods totalled €23.2 billion in March, the best monthly figure since 1971. The euro price fall has been crucial.
Spanish growth beats expectations at 3.5% in 1S2015
The Corner | May 18, 2015 | Spain’s economy minister Luis de Guindos said the country’s economic growth is likely to be stronger than expected: 3.5% in the first half of the year and more “balanced” thanks to a lower deficit, lower private borrowing and improved external competitiveness and exports.
After years of hard assessment, is Spain the IMF’s new favorite?
The Corner | April 18, 2015 | The IMF raised growth expectations for all the major economies in the Eurozone – especially Spain to 2.5% in 2015 and 2% in 2016- and for Japan. The new figures, the sixth improved forecast in a row– are more aligned with Madrid expectations (2%, although the Minister of Economy even forecasts a 3% growth). Low oil prices, the euro depreciation and the ECB’s monthly liquidity shots are the three aces of the Spanish government, who is hoping to retain the power in the next general election despite the popularity of new parties.
Spanish PMI rebounds
The Corner | April 7, 2015 | Analysis from Barclays | Spanish composite PMIs rebounded to 56.9 (+0.9 point) in March, as services PMI overshot expectations (57.3) and manufacturing output remained broadly stable (55.5). The services sector’s solid performance (PMI at an eight month high) was primarily triggered by stronger new business.