Spain

Spanish economy 14th April 2025

Fitch maintains Spain’s rating at A-, positive outlook and estimates GDP at +2.5% this year driven by domestic demand

Bankinter | Standard & Poor’s revises Italy’s rating upwards to BBB+ from BBB, stable outlook. The agency highlights the improvement in public finances and estimates a progressive reduction of the deficit in the coming years. Specifically, it anticipates that it will stand at 3.4% this year (compared to 7.2% in 2023) and that it will fall below 3.0% in 2027. It also anticipates a gradual improvement in economic growth. It…

Spanish Politics 10th April 2025

Spain to allocate extra €2.08 billion to Defence in 2024 by redeploying funds to Ministry contracts

Alphavalue/DIVACONS | Spain will allocate an additional €2.08 billion in 2024 to Defence by reallocating funds to Ministry contracts, in response to NATO pressure to meet the 2% of GDP target. Currently, Spain is the country with the lowest relative expenditure of the 32 members (1.3%). Although it had committed to reaching 2% by 2029, the government now says it will do so ‘as soon as possible’, without specifying a…

Spanish economy 20th March 2025

Spain’s trade deficit reaches €6.19 billion in January, Eurozone surplus €1 billion

Link Securities | According to data released by the Ministry of Industry, Trade and Tourism, in January Spain’s trade deficit increased to €6.19 billion, compared to €3.73 billion in the same month last year, reaching its highest level since October 2022. In January, exports fell by 1.2%, to €29.78 billion, weighed down by sharp contractions in the automotive sector (21.2%), energy products (15.0%) and capital goods (5.7%). Among the main…

In Spain 19th March 2025

Spanish public administrations’ debt at €1.630 trillion in January, up 2.8% year-on-year

Link Securities | Yesterday, Expansión newspaper reported that the debt of Spanish public administrations as a whole stood at €1.630 trillion in January, which represents an upturn of 2.8% in year-on-year terms. The amount is the second highest in the historical series, according to data from the Bank of Spain (BdE). In the last 12 months public debt has increased by €50,897 million, while in relation to the month of…

Spanish economy 7th March 2025

Spain receives 5.1 million international tourists in January, spending up almost 9%

CdM | In January, 5.1 million international tourists visited Spain, 6.1% more than in the same month last year, with total spending up 8.9% to €7.132 billion, according to data provided by the National Institute of Statistics (INE). The United Kingdom was the main country of residence, with 863,286 tourists and an increase of 3.6% compared to January 2024. 641,201 came from France (12.2% more) and 537,842 tourists from Germany…

In Spain 2nd March 2025

Industrial production prices in Spain rebound 2.6% annually against 2.3% previously due to 8.6% rise in energy costs

Link Securities | The National Institute of Statistics (INE) published on Wednesday that the Producer Price Index (PPI) rose in Spain by 0.4% in January in relation to December. During the month, the prices that contributed most to the rise in this variable were those of oil refining (up 5.8%) and those of gas production and distribution by pipeline of gaseous fuels (4.8%). On the contrary, the prices that most…

In Spain 15th December 2024

Spain: November final CPI confirms preliminary 2.4% year-on-year (vs. 1.8% previously), core at 2.4% (from 2.5% previously)

Bankinter: November final CPI confirms 2.4% year-on-year preliminary (from 1.8% year-on-year previous), Underlying also confirmed 2.4% year-on-year preliminary (from 2.5% previous). On a month-on-month basis +0.2% month-on-month for the headline rate and +0.1% for the Underlying. Analysis team’s view: The data confirm the preliminary data and also the pick-up in headline inflation in 4Q24, as expected and anticipated by the ECB, largely due to base effects from energy (electricity and…

In Spain 3rd December 2024

DBRS upgrades Spain’s rating to A+ from A, with stable outlook

Bankinter | DBRS upgrades its rating to A+ from A. Stable outlook. Based on strong economic growth, reduction of external debt and improvement in public finances. Deficit is expected to fall to 3% of GDP this year and public debt to 100% of GDP by 2026. Analysis team’s view: Good news for Spanish debt, whose 10-year bond trades with a yield of 2.79% and a risk premium of +70bp against…

In Spain 11th November 2024

Fitch maintains Spain’s long-term rating at A- and upgrades outlook to positive (from stable)

On Friday, Fitch maintained Spain’s long-term rating at A- and upgraded its outlook to positive (from stable). This decision is based on the improvement of structural factors that have increased GDP growth potential, with a labor market showing positive trends, improved competitiveness, and the absence of macro-financial imbalances. Fitch projects a real GDP growth of 2.9% for Spain in 2024 and an average growth of 2.2% in 2025-2026, compared to…

In Spain 5th October 2024

Spain receives 10.9 million international tourists in August (up 7.3%), with total expenditure of €15,336 (up 13%)

Link Securities | The Statistics on Tourist Movements at Borders (FRONTUR), produced by the National Statistics Institute (INE) shows that Spain received 10.9 million international tourists in August, 7.3% more than in the same month of 2023. Over the month, France was the main country of residence for tourists arriving in Spain, with more than 2.1 million tourists and an increase of 8.3% compared to August 2023. From the United…

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