USA

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US to reduce general tariff on China to 47% in exchange for purchase of US soybeans and suspension of restrictions on rare earths

Bankinter | Trade agreement reached. The United States will reduce its general tariff on China from 57% to 47% based on cutting the tariff on fentanyl precursor products from 20% to 10% in exchange for China’s efforts to curb illegal trade in this substance. China will resume soybean purchases and rare earth exports to the United States. The agreement is valid for one year, although, according to Trump, it could…


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Adobe Analytics expects Christmas season online sales in US to increase 5.3% to $253.4 billion

Bankinter | According to Adobe Analytics, online sales during the Christmas season will increase by 5.3% to $253.4 billion between November 1 and December 31. This represents a slowdown compared to 8.7% in 2024, although it would only be slightly below the average of 5.7% for the 2022-2024 period. The biggest shopping day will be Cyber Monday, when growth of 6.3% to $14.2 billion is expected. Adobe expects online sales…


The US is waiting for the impeachment

Senior Treasury official estimates cost of government shutdown could reach $15 billion per week

Norbolsa | A senior Treasury official has corrected estimates of the cost of the federal government shutdown, determining that it could cost the economy $15 billion per week, rather than per day as Scott Bessent had publicly claimed on two occasions. On the other hand, Bessent, without giving much detail, also stated that the deficit for fiscal year 2025 will be less than the $1.833 trillion published in the previous…


EEUU Consumidores

US consumer confidence remains virtually unchanged in October compared to previous month: 55.0 points from 55.1

Link Securities | The index measuring US consumer sentiment, compiled by the University of Michigan, fell slightly in its preliminary October reading to 55.0 points from 55.1 points in September, falling below the 55.8 points expected by FactSet consensus analysts. The index remained virtually unchanged from the previous month, as improvements in current personal finances and future business conditions for the coming year were offset by declines in expectations for…


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US PCE rises 0.3% in August compared to July, with year-on-year increase of 2.7%

Link Securities | The Department of Commerce reported that the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index rose 0.3% in the US in August compared to July, a reading that was in line with the consensus of FactSet analysts. In August, goods prices rose 0.1% compared to the previous month (down 0.1% in July), while services prices rose 0.3% (up 0.3% in July). It should be noted that in August, food prices…



silicon valley

Trump imposes $100,000 fee on new visas to attract tech talent

Alphavalue/ Divacons | Donald Trump has introduced a £100,000 fee for new H-1B visa applications, which are the visas used by tech companies to recruit talent from countries such as India and China. The White House clarified that it will only apply to new applicants, not renewals, and that it will be a one-time payment, not an annual one. This dispelled doubts among companies. Even so, it is a measure…


metro nueva york

Empire State manufacturing activity index enters negative territory in September, falling to -8.7 from 11.9 previously

Bankinter | The Empire State manufacturing activity index disappointed in September, entering negative territory. The indicator stood at -8.7 versus 5.0 expected and 11.9 previously. Analysis team’s view: The indicator, which surveys nearly 200 executives in the manufacturing industry in New York State, weakened due to a significant drop in demand. The components of New Orders (negative 19.6 versus 15.4 previously) and Shipments (negative 17.3 versus 12.2 previously) fell the…


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US and China conclude talks in Madrid, establishing framework agreement on ownership of TikTok

Link Securities | According to Bloomberg and Reuters, the US and China concluded talks in Madrid, establishing a framework agreement on the ownership of TikTok. US President Donald Trump said the meeting went well and that he will speak with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Friday. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated that the agreement could preserve Chinese characteristics while addressing US national security concerns. The Chinese news agency Xinhua…


EEUU industria

US industrial production prices surprise positively in August, rising 2.6%

Bankinter | Industrial production prices surprise positively after rising 2.6% in August (as opposed to the 3.3% expected versus 3.3% previous), with the underlying rate (excluding energy and food) at 2.8% (as opposed to the 3.5% expected versus 3.7% previous). Bankinter analysis team’s view: The impact of tariffs on prices and business margins seems limited, at least for now, although the most important data will be published today at 2:30…