USA

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Trump’s fiscal plan includes proposal to increase debt by $4 billion

Norbolsa | Republicans introduce the fiscal plan in Congress, which includes the tax cuts promised by Trump during his campaign (making the tax cuts from the first term permanent; tax exemptions for tips, overtime, private education payments, pensions and local tax cuts). No estimate of the cost (revenue shortfall from the plan) has been provided, which they hope to offset with cuts to the Medicaid healthcare programme, other spending cuts…


China EEUU choque 1

US and China suspend most tariffs on each other’s products for 90 days

Link Securities | According to the Wall Street Journal, the United States and China announced that they had agreed to suspend most tariffs on each other’s products for a period of 90 days while trade negotiations continue. The United States announced that it would reduce its ‘reciprocal’ tariff on Chinese products from 145% to 30%. China announced that it would reduce its tariff on US products from 125% to 10%….


EEUU deficit comercial

US imports increase 4.4% to new record high of $419 billion

Link Securities | The Department of Commerce reported that the US trade deficit stood at $140.5 billion in March, reaching a new monthly record and exceeding the $132.4 billion projected by the FactSet consensus of analysts. In February, the trade deficit stood at $123.2 billion. In March, imports rose 4.4%, reaching a new all-time high of $419 billion, as many customers brought forward purchases in anticipation of the upcoming tariff…


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US non-farm job creation in April beats expectations, but previous record revised downward

Bankinter | Non-Farm Job Creation (April) beats expectations, but revises downward from previous record: 177K against 138K expected and 185K previous. Unemployment Rate repeats at 4.2% as expected and Average Wages/Hour remain at 3.8% year-on-year versus 3.9% year-on-year expected. Bankinter’s analysis team’s view: The data as a whole is consistent and, therefore, positive in the current context in which the US economy finds itself. The labour market continues to show…


TrumpVsPowell

Trump U-turns again: now says he never intended to fire Powell, but calls for more decisiveness on rate cuts

Link Securities | Speaking to reporters, US President Donald Trump said he never intended to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, saying it was “media fabrications”. Trump repeated his criticism of Powell and said he would like Powell to be more active in lowering interest rates, but even if he did not, it would not have to mean his dismissal. Concerns about this possible dismissal were heightened by comments from…


donald trump

Trump says Powell doesn’t know what he’s doing and calls for interest rate cuts

Link Securities | As reported by various agencies (Bloomberg, Reuters), the US president’s economic adviser, Kevin Hassett, indicated last Friday that the Trump administration was still considering whether to fire US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Hassett accused Powell of playing politics from his post, while US President Donald Trump, for his part, indicated that Powell did not know what he was doing, and again advocated interest rate cuts over…


Empleo EEUU

US manufacturing sector deteriorates, enters contraction zone falling to 49, reflecting tariff wars

Bankinter: The Leading Indicator declines more than expected in March: down 0.7% month-on-month in March against the drop of 0.5% estimated and 0.2% previous (revised from 0.3%). The main detractors are Consumer Expectations, Stock Prices and Manufacturing Orders (ISM). By contrast, Average Hours Worked, Building Permits and Unemployment Claims contributed positively. Of the 10 components that make up the indicator, half contribute negatively. Bankinter analysis team’s view: Negative data for…


japon EEUU

Japan may get priority in negotiations with US

Banca March | Japan will receive a ‘reciprocal’ tariff of 24%, in addition to the 25% already implemented on cars. As Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba pointed out, the automotive industry is a ‘pillar’ of its economy. In an effort to ease tensions, Ishiba and Trump spoke on the phone, reflecting Japan’s willingness to seek an agreement. Scott Besset, US Treasury Secretary, expressed his expectation that Japan would be treated as…


China EEUU choque 1

China strikes back: 34% tariff on all imports from US

BancaMarch | China has already responded forcefully, with a 34% tariff on all imports from the US, to be applied from 10 April. In addition, it has introduced restrictions on the export of certain rare earths to the US. Other countries have not yet stated their response. Within the European Union (EU), member states such as France and Germany are taking a belligerent stance, while Italy is considering working towards…


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Trump imposes 25% tariffs on all imports of cars not manufactured in US, to come into force on 3 April

Bankinter | The measures will come into force on 3 April for all cars not manufactured in the United States. Trump also added that the tariffs would also affect car components, and that these would come into force by 3 May at the latest. He also stated that the tariffs would be permanent in nature and without exceptions. Bankinter analysis team’s view: Bad news for the sector in general. Currently,…