Mohamed El-Erian, currently chief economist with German insurance group Allianz, and touted as a possible sucessor to Stanley Fischer, believes that monetary policy cannot do any more. And that the governments of the democratic countries have not been capable of coordinating economic policies which solve the problems created by the last crisis.
Articles by Pablo Pardo
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Pablo Pardo (Washington) | Why has the US continued to pump “unconventional” oil to such an extent that it seems almost certain that this will be the year when it beats its production record? It is also an example of the extent of the US economy’s madness with the Federal Reserve’s expansive monetary policy over the last 10 years.
Nobody really knows why volatility has disappeared. In theory, there are more than enough reasons for the market to be nervous, and for investors to take advantage of this to obtain higher returns.
The FAANG, an acronym for Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google, are the five companies really moving the US market. As a matter of fact, it is entirely dominated by Apple. And this firm’s expectations are what drives its share price.
The Laffer curve, named after Arthur Laffer, demonstrates, in a conceptual and educational way, that from a certain level of tax onwards, revenues fall because people don’t have any incentive to work. And the Supply Economy originated from this.
Despite the chaos of the Trump administration, prices have reached the Fed’s target. The announced “tapering” is complicated because if the central bank is not careful rates could shoot up more than necessary.
Wall Street’s market is celebrating eight years of uninterrupted rises. The PER of the SP500 was 10.9 on March 9th 2009, and it is now 19.8, with the historic average at 15.6.
Be passive! That seems to be the key for successfully investing these days. Put your money in an ETF that targets a basket of stocks, or, even better, into an indexed fund and forget about the rest. It is a market trend that has been blessed by no other than Warren Buffet. In his last encyclical (otherwise known as, simply, Berkshire’s letter to shareholders), the Oracle of Omaha tells his flock
It doesn’t matter what Trump says: the manufacturing companies are facing hard times. The best example of this is the Dow Jones. If the index was composed today of the same stocks as in 2004, it would not reach 13,000 points.
Donald Trump is clearly interfering with corporate liberty, directly criticising on Twitter every investment the big companies make. But the question is that he functions by and for the cameras and hasn’t taken in what the rule of law is. So you can’t ask him to have respect for regulations and institutions. He will be sworn in today.