Articles by The Corner

About the Author

The Corner
The Corner has a team of on-the-ground reporters in capital cities ranging from New York to Beijing. Their stories are edited by the teams at the Spanish magazine Consejeros (for members of companies’ boards of directors) and at the stock market news site Consenso Del Mercado (market consensus). They have worked in economics and communication for over 25 years.

Spain services PMI

Spanish borrowers will have more difficulty paying their consumer loans, according to Moodys

Link Securities | According to Moody’s credit rating agency, the sharp decline in consumer confidence in Spain during 2H19 reflects the growing concerns of Spaniards about the economy and employment. The agency believes that consumer confidence data represent an advanced indicator of the increase in the risk of assets and the consequent deterioration of the evolution of securitized loans.


Spain's pensions debt to rise over 200% of GDP by the end of 60s

Spanish government gives green light to 0.9% pension increase

The first ministers cabinet meeting in Spain on Tuesday approved the rise in pensions by 0.9%. The increase will be applied retroactively from January 1 and will affect more than 10 million Spaniards, both contributory and non-contributory and passive class pensions. It will cost the Spanish coffers 1.4 bn euros.



credit cards

Subprime risks are back

DWS | Once again, strange things begin to happen in the subprime (that is, higher risk) segment of the US consumer loan market. We can see it, without going any further, in the delinquency rates of credit card balances held by thousands of small US commercial banks. Since autumn 2016, the percentage of delinquent loans (defined as loans with overdue balances for thirty days or more that continue to accrue interest) among these banks has doubled to approximately 6%, a figure higher than the levels reached during the financial crisis 2008. On the contrary, the loan books linked to credit cards of the one hundred largest banks are much more healthy.

 


Equities

Turning tactically neutral on European equities

BofA | We turn tactically neutral on European equities: We lower our weighting on European equities from positive to neutral following the 14% rally since August. Our macro projections remain unchanged: we expect a further 1.5 points upside for the Euro area composite PMI new orders to 52 by February, following the 2-point rise since September.


iran us

What US-Iran tensions mean for investors

Neil Dwane (Allianz) | The financial markets are signalling that the situation in the Middle East won’t get out of hand, but US-Iran friction could continue for some time. The defence industry and oil and gas-related sectors could remain well-supported, but overall we believe investors should be cautious yet patient. Look to higher-quality stocks with lower correlations to the broader market and “hunt for income” if headline volatility is a risk you wish to avoid.



5g network

The Global 5G Roll-Out is a Geopolitical Turning Point

Joanna Eva (European Views) | For the best part of two years, wireless carriers in the US and Europe have been hailing the imminent onset of 5G technology. In Europe, Switzerland, Spain and the UK have already adopted commercial 5G coverage in major cities. Beyond the obvious benefits of the new technology, however, most consumers remain wilfully ignorant to the geopolitical realities of the ongoing roll-out; 2020 presents nothing less than an existential crossroads for democracies around the world.