ATHENS | July 23, 2015 | By Jens Bastian via MacroPolis | Now that the rather bizarrely termed “bank holiday” has come to an end in Greece after three weeks – although domestic and external capital controls – continue, it is appropriate to take stock of the situation and inquire where do we go from here.
The Corner | July 23, 2015 | The Spanish economy grew by 0.9% q/q in Q1 15. Q2 data suggest that activity accelerated to 1.1% q/q, taking full-year 2015 growth to 3.3%, on Barclays estimates. “We think that the risks to the Spanish growth outlook are balanced, especially as the likelihood of Grexit has dropped,” the bank analysts commented on their July economic bulletin.
The Corner | July 23, 2015 | Spain unemployment fell by 295,600 people, or 5.4 % in Q2 from Q1. It is the second major Q2 drop since at least 2008, according to the Active Population Survey.
The Corner | July 21, 2015 | Spain’s total public administration debt stood at €1.040 trillion at end-May, up €7.890 billion from a month earlier and representing approximately 97.4% of gross domestic product (GDP), according to the Bank of Spain. The government expects public debt to reach 98.9% of GDP in 2015.
The nuclear deal with Iran, like Nixon’s opening to China in 1972, has the potential to be a geopolitical game-changer—if it can get through Congress first.
BERKELEY | July 18, 2015 | By Barry Eichengreen via Caixin | The Greek crisis and the sharp increase in volatility on Chinese stock markets have been the two principal sources of financial headlines – and worries – in recent days. To be sure, the situations in Athens and Shanghai are quite different, yet they have a common set of implications.
LONDON | July 17, 2015 | UBS | Property activity corrected visibly in 2014 and H1 2015, with declining property starts and weaker construction dragging down China’s industrial sector and GDP growth.
John Bruton | If Greeks themselves do not trust their own government and banks with their money, it is difficult to expect the taxpayers of other countries to do so. Yet that is what critics of the third Greek bailout seem to expect.
BEIJING | July 16, 2015 | By Shi Rui, Liu Jiaying and Chen Xinlei via Caixin | Authorities are fleshing out a plan that would let country’s locally managed pensions buy and sell stock on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges.
LONDON | July 16, 2015 | Barclays | The Greek parliament passed a package of measures as part of its bailout agreement, with the focus now shifting to whether the ECB raises the ELA ceiling. The Governing Council meeting is also scheduled for today, and we expect the press conference to be focused on Greece.