ATHENS | June 12, 2015 | By Yiannis Mouzakis via MacroPolis | Alexis Tsipras’s government had many people scratching their heads and some say even officials fuming with its approach and negotiating tactics since it came to power.
BEIJING | June 11, 2015 | By Zhang Yu and intern reporter Han Hui via Caixin | Financial institutions have become more cautious about lending money to investors playing the Chinese A-share market, which is seeing its strongest rally in nearly eight years even as analysts issue warnings of a collapse.
LONDON | June 11, 2015 | UBS | We believe that a bear trend has started in European bonds and we continue to forecast 2% for 10-year Bund yields for the end of next year.
ATHENS | June 10, 2015 | By Jens Bastian via MacroPolis | Greece’s negotiations with its international creditors have now entered their eighth month, with a possible interim agreement due to be discussed in Brussels between Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Francois Hollande.
LONDON | June 10, 2015 | By Antonio Garcia Pascual and Nikolaos Sgouropoulos (Barclays) | We think there are at least two critical issues outstanding: 1) agreeing on credible fiscal measures to achieve a primary surplus of c. 1% of GDP; and 2) fast-track pension reforms to reduce costs and increase the effective retirement age (currently 59).
LONDON | June 9, 2015 | By Giuseppe Maraffino (Barclays) | Eonia and Euribor fixings (as well as OIS rates up to 1 year) have been immune to the new round of high volatility. This is because they are more sensitive to liquidity conditions and the current abundant liquidity surplus at about EUR300bn has been an important protection.
The Corner | June 9 , 2015 | Some European indexes experienced important losses on Monday (look at the Stoxx 600 today). Market watchers say we can already talk about corrections (-10% from its peak in mid-April)
The Corner | June 8, 2015 | Spanish growth, well above the euro area average, has surprised the IMF on the upside (GDP growth is seen at 3.1% in 2015 and 2.5% in 2016). And reforms have boosted confidence, business investment and consumption. The main headwind for Mariano Rajoy’s government is now a hampering unemployment rate of almost 23.8%, the Washington-based institution says.
June 8, 2015 | Barclays | After the Greek government failed to reach an agreement with the institutions last week, positions are still far apart and it is very unclear what PM Tsipras wants to achieve, while he is confronted with disagreements within his party. Failure to agree this week would likely make it difficult to have a smooth resolution before the end of June when the programme expires.
The Corner | June 8, 2015 | After all, equities are supported by the cycle and the upturn in business results. On the other hand, bond markets are negatively affected by the improvement of the economic outlook and a scenario where deflation is not considered anymore.