Markets

Arcelor Mittal

Demand for steel is not recovering, but ArcelorMittal is doing its homework

Banc Sabadell | The demand for steel in Europe (40% EBITDA) is somewhat weaker than expected (the expected recovery in car making has not happened), which means price rises are not expected. However, ArcelorMittal has showed that it is doing its homework in reducing cash outflows, given a tight financial situation, which could lead to announcements of improved shareholder remuneration in 2020.


mediaset

Mediaset: TV advertising market will fall -3% vs previous -1.5%

Renta 4 | Mediaset España has issued a communiqué on its results for July and August, again characterised by cost flexibility (savings of almost 20 million euros because of the absence of the world cup) and the reinforcement of incomes not depending on conventional ads.


irr banks

European banks depend on German interest rates

DWS | An analysis of the correlation between the shares of Eurozone banks and the IRRs of German bunds shows the extent to which the banks depend on long term interest rates. The reasons for this behaviour are revealing.

 


cie automotive

CIE Automotive acquires the Italian company Somaschini for 5x ebitda

Cie Automotive will acquire 100% of the social capital of Somaschini S.p.A. The enterprise value is 79.6 million euros, equivalent to less than five times EBITDA for this year, and will be adjusted at closure of the deal depending on its indebtedness, as is usual in this type of operation.


Banco Santander office

Santander: 1.5bn hit to UK operation, without visible impact in the accounts

Bankinter | Santander UK has completed a revision of its  UK operation, with a cut of 1.5 Bn€. This writedown is due to a deterioration in business perspectives (generation of future incomes) as a consequence of the severe regulatory environment and uncertainty about Brexit, which obliges it duplicate certain functions and, therefore, raise costs and reduce the expectations for the generation of profits.


climate change 1325882 1280

Bond risk premia barely integrate climate change

Marie Lassegnore (La Française AM) | Climate change is a reality which affects all of us. We are both responsible for and damaged by this environmental impact. As committed investors with strong convictions, we want to participate actively in the energy and ecological transition necessary to conserve our planet as we know it.


money

Private financial assets fell by 0.1% in 2018, the first decline since 2008

Allianz Wealth Report | Rising uncertainty took its toll on financial markets in 2018 – and households felt the brunt: Private financial assets fell by 0.1% in 2018, the first decline since 2008. Gross financial assets in the 53 countries we analyzed thus remained more or less flat at EUR 172.5 trillion. The decline in gross financial assets in 2018 was widespread, both emerging and advanced countries ended the year in the red. For emerging markets, it was the first time in this century, for advanced markets the third time since 2008 and 2002.




NYSE bull

Carry Me Home

Chris Iggo (AXA IM) | The market is trading like it believes the mid-cycle correction story rather than the impending recession narrative. Equity and credit markets are doing “ok” and rates have bottomed for now.