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Moody’s maintains UK’s rating at Aa3 with stable outlook, raises Italy’s to Baa2 with stable outlook

Bankinter | Moody’s maintained its Aa3 rating with a stable outlook for the United Kingdom. The agency highlights strengths such as a rich, diversified economy and a solid institutional framework. It also notes the government’s commitment to reducing the deficit, with the budget due to be presented on Wednesday (26 November). In any case, its projections of moderate growth and a gradual reduction in the deficit lead it to estimate…


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Manufacturing PMI falls in Eurozone, Germany and France in November

Singular Bank | According to preliminary readings, the Eurozone manufacturing PMI fell to 49.7 points in November (versus 50.0 points in October), its lowest level since June. In contrast, the services PMI rose slightly by 0.1 points to 53.1 points, its highest level since May 2024. In this context, the composite PMI fell slightly by 0.1 points to 50.4 points. This development can be explained by the decline in new…


exports

ECB says Eurozone current account surplus reaches in September €38.1 billion, compared to €43.5 billion in same month 2024

Link Securities | According to the European Central Bank (ECB), the Eurozone generated a current account surplus of €38.1 billion in September, compared to €43.5 billion in the same month of 2024. This decline was the result of a sharp drop in the primary income surplus, which fell to €800 million from €12 billion in September of the previous year. At the same time, the secondary income deficit increased to…


europa industrial

Eurozone Industrial production grows 1.2% year-on-year in September due to dependence on external sector

Bankinter | Industrial production in Eurozone countries grew less than expected in September: 1.2% year-on-year versus 2.1% expected and 1.2% previously (revised from 1.1%). In month-on-month terms, 0.2% versus 0.7% versus a drop of 1.1% (revised from 1.2%). By country, Germany continues to slow down its growth (down 0.8%). Analysis team’s view: Industrial production, which is highly dependent on the foreign sector, continues to be affected by US tariffs and…


alemania ampelmann

Final CPI in Germany confirms preliminary annual figure of 2.3% compared to 2.4% previously

Bankinter | A slight moderation in German inflation in October is confirmed. The final CPI confirms the preliminary figure of 2.3% (year-on-year) against 2.4% previously. Wholesale Price Index 1.1% in October (year-on-year) against 1.2% previously. Analysis team’s view: Inflation moderates slightly, moving towards the ECB’s target (2%). We do not expect any changes in ECB rate expectations, so it should have a neutral impact on stocks and bonds.


IPC varios Eurozona.

Eurozone: Sentix investor confidence falls to -7.4 points in November from -5.4 previously

Link Securities | The Sentix index, which assesses investor confidence in the Eurozone, fell to -7.4 points in November from -5.4 points in October, falling below the -6.0 points expected by analysts in the Reuters consensus. Thus, the survey of 1,069 investors showed a weakening of this group’s perception of both current conditions and future expectations for the Eurozone economy. Germany, Europe’s largest economy, sank further into pessimism, with its…


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Bundesbank issues warning about growing risk of financial instability looming over Germany

Norbolsa | The Bundesbank issued a warning about the growing risk of financial instability looming over Germany, citing factors such as the erratic trade policy of the United States, overvalued stock markets, excessive debt levels in various parts of the world and deteriorating bank credit quality. It thus made a more negative risk assessment, contrasting with the ECB’s assessment, and saw a greater risk to growth, amplified by tariffs.


Alemania industria 1

Industrial production in Germany falls 1% year-on-year in September

Bankinter | Industrial production in September was once again weaker than expected, falling by 1.0% year-on-year, compared to an estimated rise of 0.1% and a 3.9% drop previously. In month-on-month terms, it rebounded by 1.3% versus 3.0% expected and after the sharp fall seen in August (4.3%), which was the largest since 2022, mainly due to the18.5% fall in car production. Analysis team’s view: Negative data, although we do not…


Spain industrial production

Eurozone Industrial production prices fall 0.1% in September

CdM | Industrial production prices fell by 0.1% in both the Eurozone and the European Union (EU) in September compared to the previous month, according to initial estimates from Eurostat, the EU’s statistical office. On a year-on-year basis, the decline was 0.2% for the Eurozone, while prices rose by 0.1% in the EU. On a month-on-month basis, industrial production prices in the Eurozone remained stable for intermediate goods and capital…


manufactoring Spain

Eurozone manufacturing sector expands in October for eighth month running

CdM | The eurozone manufacturing sector expanded once again. However, the pace of growth remained steady, according to the PMI index. In fact, although October marked the eighth consecutive monthly expansion, the pace of growth was moderate overall and slightly weaker than the average observed during the current expansion sequence. ‘We can speak, at best, of an incipient outbreak of economic recovery.’ ‘Production has increased for the eighth consecutive month,…