In the World

emerging economies

Dealing With Crises: How Have Emerging Economies Evolved?

Pablo Béjar | Having transitioned into a more complex global economy, today emerging and developing countries are less economically vulnerable than in the 1980s and 1990s. But how secure are these economies? How much less vulnerable quantitatively and more resilient are countries to macroeconomic crises that battered them over the last 35 years? More specifically, how has the probability of a currency and GDP crisis evolved during these last years?



commodities, out of reflation debate

Commodities, Isolated From The Reflation debate

The reflation trade that boosted a rally in global stockmarkets after Donald Trump’s victory has been put to the test in recent weeks with the inflation data failing to deliver the sought-after hard facts. However, commodities as an asset class have for some time been somewhat isolated from the reflation debate




kinds of austerity

Two Kinds Of “Austerity”: Fiscal and Monetary

“A long period of deficient demand can discourage workers. It can also hold back investment: a new project may be profitable but if there is no demand it will not get financed,” says Simon Wren-Lewis. The point is that deficient demand was not due to “fiscal austerity”, but to “monetary austerity”.



Janet Yellen testimony

Janet Yellen’s Testimony Seems A Testament

Janet Yellen has delivered what observers see as her last testimony at both Houses of the Congress. Rumours increasingly point to the President’s chief economic advisor as the potential successor when her mandate comes to an end in February. Mr Trump has never disguised his contempt for her, whom he depicted in one of his twits as the champion of low inflation.


Sino-Japanese relations

Trump Driving Japan and China Closer

Yoichi Funabashi and Harry Dempse via Caixin |Yoichi Funabashi and Harry Dempse via Caixin | Sino-Japanese relations have been stuck in a political quagmire for over six years. Tensions over the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands have resurfaced time and time again since September 2010, when a Chinese fishing boat rammed two Japanese coast guard ships and its captain was arrested by the Japanese.


G20 Summit in Hamburg

G-Zero: Just An Opportunity To Overcome Mutual Grievances

The G-20 Summit in Hamburg has shown how useless this gathering has become nowadays. Its contribution to world policing stands close to zero. No wonder. The only positive outcome emerging from the meeting was the opportunity it provided for enhancing personal relations and overcoming mutual grievances. Mr Trump excelled in this job when meeting Mr Putin.