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The effects of world trade tensions remain in the future

In the World 10th July 2025

Trump signs executive order extending deadline for negotiations with partners until 1 August

Link Securities | On Monday, US President Donald Trump announced the imposition of 25% tariffs on imports of products from Japan and South Korea, similar to the tariffs imposed on 2 April, known as ‘Liberation Day’. Malaysia also received 25% tariffs on exports of its products to the United States, while other Asian countries such as Thailand received higher tariffs (36%). At the same time, Trump signed an executive order…

oil barrels

World economy 9th July 2025

OPEC+ agreement to increase production by 548,000 bpd in August to negatively affect prices

Bankinter | OPEC+ has agreed to increase production in August by 548,000 bpd. As a reference, in April, production increased by 138,000 bpd and 411,000 bpd in May, June and July. OPEC+ (including other countries such as Russia and Mexico) produces 41 Mbd (just over 40% of global supply). This increase will come from eight members, including Saudi Arabia, Russia and the United Arab Emirates. Analysis team’s view: The news…

Trump Aranceles

World economy 4th July 2025

US and Vietnam reach trade agreement: 20% tariff on Vietnamese exports in exchange for full access to American market

Intermoney | Donald Trump announced yesterday that he had reached an agreement with Vietnam. The terms stipulate that Vietnam will pay the United States a 20% tariff on all goods exported to US territory and a 40% tariff on any transhipments, while in return, Vietnam will grant the United States full access to its commercial markets. Vietnam presented a particular challenge for the Trump administration, as some of the president’s…

eeuu capitolio

World economy 3rd July 2025

US Senate approves Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” by 51 votes to 50

Bankinter | The Senate approved, by a narrow margin of 51 to 50, the stimulus package proposed by President Trump, known as “One Big Beautiful Bill”. The approval was only possible thanks to the tie-breaking vote of Vice President JD Vance, after three Republican senators joined the Democratic opposition. Bankinter analysis team’s view: The package, which now goes to a new vote in Congress, provides for extending and making permanent…

renovables EEUU

In the World 2nd July 2025

Trump’s tax and spending package could reduce US renewable capacity by 500 GW

Link Securities | The tax and spending package proposed by US President Trump poses significant threats to the renewable energy sector, according to StreetAccount analysts. The Senate bill introduces new taxes on wind and solar projects with Chinese components after 2027, while tightening qualification rules, requiring projects to be operational by 2027, rather than simply started. In addition, they point out that the legislation could reduce US renewable capacity by…

China

World economy 2nd July 2025

China PMIs exceed expectations: 49.7 in manufacturing, 50.5 in non-manufacturing and 50.7 in composite index

Bankinter | China’s PMIs slightly exceeded expectations. Manufacturing PMI: 49.7 versus 49.6 expected; Non-manufacturing PMI: 50.5 versus 49.6 expected; Composite PMI: 50.7 versus 50.4 previously. Bankinter analysis team’s view: These figures point to a positive outlook in the short term, with industrial production growing month-on-month and demand rising for the first time in three months. However, in the medium term, the deterioration in employment and the end of the trade…

China EEUU choque 1

World economy 1st July 2025

US and China reveal some details of trade agreement, which will implement Geneva consensus

Link Securities | The financial news website CNBC reported that the United States and China confirmed on Friday the details of the trade agreement reached by both parties earlier this month in London, which will implement the Geneva consensus, according to a statement issued by the Chinese Ministry of Commerce. China will review and approve export applications for products subject to export control regulations, while the United States will cancel…

Europa aranceles EEUU

World economy 1st July 2025

Europe fears Spain’s stance on defence spending could be stumbling block in trade talks with US

Norbolsa | Spain’s lack of commitment to increasing defence spending as agreed with NATO opens up another rift in EU-US relations. Trump threatens to double tariffs on Spain for failing to meet its defence commitments. With trade agreements in place, it seems unlikely that tariffs could be imposed on a member state, but there is a risk that they could impact the country’s most sensitive goods, including oil, wine and…

ACS novisimo

World economy 30th June 2025

ACS to participate in Chile’s National Data Centre Plan after acquisition of Fleischmann

Norbolsa | ACS has acquired Chilean company Fleischmann, which specialises in engineering and air conditioning and has extensive experience in data centres. The operation strengthens its position to participate in Chile’s National Data Centre Plan, with a planned investment of $2.5 billion over five years. The Group has not disclosed the amount of the transaction, but has emphasised that the completion of the purchase is subject to obtaining the relevant…

EEUU families

In the World 29th June 2025

US GDP contracts by 0.5% in annualised terms in 1Q25 against +2.4% in 4Q24

Singular Bank | According to the BEA, in the final reading, GDP fell by 0.13% in quarterly terms in 1Q25 (against an increase of 0.61% in 1Q24). At the same time, in year-on-year terms, production growth stood at 1.99% (versus 2.53% in the last quarter of 2024) and in annualised terms contracted by 0.5% (against plus 2.4% in the previous quarter).