Search Results for deflation

MMT pounds

Modern Monetary Theory: The Rise Of Economists Who Say Huge Government Debt Is Not A Problem

John Whittaker (The Conversation) | MMT proponents argue that governments can spend as necessary on all desirable causes – reducing unemployment, green energy, better healthcare and education – without worrying about paying for it with higher taxes or increased borrowing. Instead, they can pay using new money from their central bank. The only limit, according to this view, is if inflation starts to rise, in which case the solution is to increase taxes. 


Frankfurt

A Message To The German Constitutional Court: There Is A Debate On Asset Purchases At The ECB

Intermoney | Within the ECB, they are not forgetting the clash it has had with the German Constitutional Court, after the latter ruled the bank’s bond purchase programme is “partially unconstitutional.” In fact, it is one of the problems they have to solve before the institutional break in August. Meanwhile, the central bank’s internal forum is still debating the question of whether the buying programme had an impact on economic and financial policy. The members of the Governing Council have been discussing the pros and cons of its monetary policy. 


Signs of a future increase in inflation

The Impact Of The COVID-19 Outbreak On European Inflation

CaixaBank Research | The impact of the coronavirus on inflation is uncertain, as there are simultaneous supply and demand movements that can tilt the balance towards more inflation, disinflation, or even deflation. In the short term, despite measurement problems and the closure of markets, disinflation has dominated. In the medium term, several factors suggest that disinflationary pressures will continue to dominate. In the long term, transformations such as deglobalisation or shifts in consumption patterns could lead to structural changes.


Leverage loans. The next trigger?

Inflation Is Impossible: The Speed Of Money Circulation Is At An All-Time Low

Miguel Navascués | The Fed is continuing to buy assets and issue money to chosen subjects (for the first time not just the banks). The purchases made so far are more than double those made in 2008. However, the speed of money circulation (i.e., GDP/M2), shows a decline to levels never seen before: each unit of money in circulation moves just $1.4 of GDP. Or, in other words, more and more money is needed to move the same amount of GDP.


inflation course

Be Aware Of What Inflation Really Is

Degussa | Most people these days think inflation is a rise in consumer goods prices of more than 2 per cent per year – a result of what mainstream economics has been teaching generations of students all around the world. However, equating inflation with changes in consumer goods prices is inadequate and highly deceptive for various reasons. 


The trick of the Italian budget law

Are Italy’s Days In The Eurozone Numbered?

Asad Zangana (Schroeders) | Many economies are facing a deep recession as a result of Covid-19, but Italy went into this crisis in a more precarious situation than most. The country stands out as the most likely candidate to exit the eurozone for several reasons. First, with gross debt estimated at 135% of GDP in 2019, it faces a significant challenge in both servicing its debt, but also refinancing it.


Modern monetary theory

Fast forward to MMT, please

Yves Bonzon (Julius Baer) | We are therefore moving much faster than expected towards a macroeconomic policy cocktail that combines monetary and fiscal policy (Modern Monetary Theory, MMT). In concrete terms, private agents (households and companies) who are currently losing precious income, must be able to continue to pay their bills in order to avoid a credit crunch against which monetary policy, even unconventional, can do nothing in isolation. Offering state guarantees for loans that relieve their immediate cash flow stress is a good solution in the very short term.


Sangrefría

Use Your Slow Brain, Please

Ives Bonzon (Julius Baer) | When the circumstances we face become extreme, the temptation to panic is great. As Daniel Kahne-man, the great psychologist and Nobel Prize – winning economist for his work on choices and decisions, explained, the human brain is subdivided between a fast brain focused on the risks to our survival and a slow brain useful for grasping complex problems. The pandemic scenario touches us emotionally at the heart of our most precious asset, our survival. Nevertheless, more than ever, it is crucial to apprehend the situation with our slow brain.


Quantitative easing now looks permanent – and has turned central banks into pseudo governments

Quantitative Easing Now Looks Permanent–And Has Turned Central Banks Into Pseudo Governments

via The Conversation | After a pause of a few months, the world’s leading central banks are “printing” money again to try to bolster their economies. Commonly known as quantitative easing or QE, the European Central Bank (ECB) resumed its programme just before the turn of the year. The backdrop is lukewarm growth, a looming recession in Germany, and persistent fears of Japanese-style deflation.


future

10 Themes for the Next 10 Years

BofAML | We enter the next decade with interest rates at 5,000-year lows, the largest asset bubble in history, a planet that is heating up, and a deflationary profile of debt, disruption and demographics. We will end it with nearly 1bn people added to the world, a rapidly ageing population, up to 800mn people facing the threat of job automation and the environment on the brink of catastrophic change. At the same time, 3bn more people will be connected online and global data knowledge will be 32x greater than today. The social, political and economic responses to these challenges, all heading to a boiling point this decade, will overhaul traditional paradigms.