May 21, 2015 | By UBS analysts | The March FOMC statement had disposed of patience with regard to the funds rate, clearly preparing for the possibility or even likelihood of raising rates in June. But Q1 growth slowed more than expected, and the FOMC became more cautious in its April statement.
SAO PAULO | May 15, 2015 | By Marcus Nunes via Historinhas | It´s such a bad ‘target’ that the Fed has been compelled to move the target frequently over the past couple of years, all the way from 6.5% to 5%-5.2%!
MADRID | May 12, 2015 | By Ana Fuentes | Easy money and negative yields are fueling an unprecedented, dangerous bubble: prices of assets, stocks, bonds and houses are more inflated than ever. Central bankers are noting (and warning against) it. Some market makers are following suit and recommend to reduce exposure to risk.
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MADRID | April 9, 2015 | By JP Marín Arrese | As the recovery pace of the US economy softens, FED policy makers are growing increasingly reluctant to raise rates too early. The March FOMC minutes released yesterday reveal they could only agree on deleting “patience” when referring to the foreseen tightening of the monetary stance. Members seem split on the timing, with many openly advocating postponing the move until the end of this year or even into 2016.
The Corner| April 9, 2015 | Strong figures from German industry will offer further encouragement to EU policymakers that the economic recovery is now on the right track. German industrial production grew by 0.2%, beating expectations of a 0.1% rise. The increase in industry excluding energy and construction was 0.5% according to latest data from the Bundesbank.
The Corner | April 7, 2015 | European markets reopen this morning, with three areas of specific interest likely to dominate events on trading floors. The first, will be the continued wrangling between Greece and its creditors, with hopes for a deal becoming increasingly slim as the acrimony between the various parties seemingly increased over the weekend. On Wall Street, quarterly results presentations will commence, while traders will also be closely monitoring a swathe of data which may offer an insight as to the future direction of the Fed’s monetary policy.
The Corner | March 27, 2015 | Data from Europe has shown that the cost of imports have risen for the eurozone’s largest economy, Germany, spelling good news for the country’s partners within the currency union. In the US, data released today will be poured over by Fed chairwoman, Janet Yellen, at a press briefing scheduled for later this evening.
MADRID | March 24, 2015 | By J.P Marín-Arrese | On face value, Europe is recovering from a bad spell while the US is growing at an invidious rate. However, the wild currency swing may yet destabilise the global economy. Janet Yellen’s remarks on the threat of an overvalued dollar were designed to preserve a balanced performance, and indeed sparked a quick reaction in exchange rates. Yet, as the ECB unfurls its massive quantitative easing programme, volatility in the currency markets could inflict further damage.
The Corner | March 16, 2015 | The week ahead is likely to be dominated by the FOMC meeting in the US. Market watchers are expecting some movement on the semantics of pronouncements by the US Fed. In essence, any change in language will signal that a rates hike from the central bank is drawing closer.