global oil supply

OPEC post mortem

OPEC agrees to increase production in June by 411,000bd despite lower demand estimates

Bankinter | OPEC agrees to increase production in June by 411,000bd. As a reference, in April OPEC increased its production by 138,000bd and 411,000bd in May. Therefore, it introduces this amount for the second consecutive month. OPEC has the objective of bringing 2.2Mbd to market and, if this increase is maintained, it would achieve its objective in September this year, compared to July 2026, as predicted in April. As a…


petroleo extractora

Several OPEC members considering production increase from June onwards

Bankinter | OPEC could accelerate production increase in June. According to press reports, several members are considering an increase in production. As a reference, OPEC will increase its production by 138,000bd in April and 411,000bd from May onwards. OPEC has the objective of bringing 2.2Mbd to market and, if this increase is maintained, it would achieve its objective in September this year, compared to July 2026, as predicted in April….


oil barrels

OPEC production rises in February, boosted by Kazakhstan with 363,000 bpd to 41.01 Mbd, double April’s forecast

Bankinter | In its monthly report, OPEC states that Kazakhstan’s production increase was 363,000bp, to a total production of 41.01Mbd. The increase more than doubles the total production increase forecast by OPEC for April: 138,000bp. Kazakhstan is increasing its production thanks to the Tangiz field, operated by Chevron. Specifically, it is producing 1.767 Mbd, a level that compares with 1.570 Mbd in January and 1.468 Mbd of permitted quota. Other…


oil plataform

International Energy Agency raises 2025 production estimate for US and maintains global demand

Bankinter | The International Energy Agency has raised its production estimate for the United States in 2025, but maintains its global demand estimate. Specifically, it forecasts that US production will reach 13.59mbd in 2025 versus the previous estimate of 13.55mbd. On the other hand, it maintains its demand estimate for the United States at 20.5mbd. Globally, it estimates that production will increase by 1.7mbd in 2025, while consumption will increase…


oil barrels

IEA foresees global oil overproduction over next two years, mainly from US

Bankinter | The International Energy Agency estimates that there will be global overproduction of oil over the next two years. Specifically, it estimates that world production will rise to 104.4Mbd in 2025 vs. 104.2Mbd previously. This supply contrasts with demand expected to reach 104.1Mbd vs. 104.3Mbd previously. Analysis team’s view: Negative news for oil. Moreover, it reaffirms our opinion: oil prices will moderate in the coming years due to the…


oil plataform

Market continues to see some oil oversupply in 2025, pointing to Brent at around $73/b in January 2025 and towards $70/b by year-end

Renta 4 | The International Energy Agency’s (IEA) December oil report was published last Thursday, revising downwards its demand growth estimate for this year (+840k boe/d against 920k boe/d previously) and increasing it for 2025 (+1.1 million boe/d against +0.99 million boe/d previously) to 103.9 mln boe/d. It also published its estimate for total oil supply growth of +630k boe/d this year and +1.9 mln boe/d in 2025, to 104.8…


oil rig platform

US to buy up to 3m bpd for Strategic Petroleum Reserve for delivery in March 2024

Link Securities | The US Department of Energy has announced that it wants to buy up to 3 million barrels of oil per day (mbd) for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) for delivery in March 2024, taking advantage of lower prices to start replenishing reserves. It should be recalled that last year the US administration conducted the largest SPR sale to date of 180 million barrels to try to limit…


Russian Oil Rig

Russia and Saudi Arabia to maintain voluntary oil supply cuts until at least end of 2023

Banca March: Russia and Saudi Arabia have confirmed that they will maintain voluntary oil supply cuts until the end of 2023, reviewing in December whether to prolong, deepen or end the supply cap. This supply cap began in the spring of 2023, when Russia responded to sanctions imposed for its invasion of Ukraine. Other OPEC+ members, including Saudi Arabia, opted to join voluntary cuts totalling 1.66 million barrels per day…


brent

OPEC+ confirms oil supply cuts to continue until at least 31 December

Link Securities | Cinco Días reports on Thursday that the OPEC+ CMCM (before JMMC) monitoring committee confirmed in a telematic meeting chaired by Saudi Energy Minister Abdelaziz bin Salman and Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak that the steep oil supply cuts being implemented by both Saudi Arabia and Russia together with OPEC+ will be maintained until at least 31 December this year. “The committee will continue to closely assess…


petroleo grua2CM

Saudi Arabia and Russia announce new oil production cuts

BancaMarch : The energy ministry of Saudi Arabia, the largest producer in the OPEC+ cartel, announced that the one million barrels per day cut in July will be extended to August to support “the stability and balance of oil markets”. At the same time, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak announced a reduction in the country’s output by an additional 500,000 barrels per day in August. Both announcements are part…