Daniel Tarullo

Meet the most important man in the Federal Reserve

CANCUN (MEXICO) | July 27, 2015 | By Pablo Pardo | A long time ago, in a galaxy far, far away…” the Federal Reserve did not even announce its interest rate movements. Fed watchers had to infer the lending policy of the world’s most powerful central bank just by painstakingly perusing the documents–release, obviously, in paper–of the Fed’s open market operations.  




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A Greek flag

On the Greek crisis and German imbalances

NICOSIA | July 27, 2015 | By Marios Zachariadis via MacroPolisPolicies undertaken from a narrow national perspective that encourage systematic fiscal surpluses, coupled with a national consensus on wage suppression between unions and industry facilitated by the state, impact negatively upon domestic spending while increasing national saving. 


Spain’s Bankia beats forecasts

The Corner | July 27, 2015 | Spain’s bailed-out lender Bankia saw its first-half profit rose 11.5 percent from a year ago, as it reported on Monday. Net profit rose 10.3 per cent to €311m, versus a consensus of analysts’ expectations of €277.8m. Charges against bad debts fell and offset weaker revenue from lending. 

china flash PMI

China flash PMI falls to a 15 month low

HONG KONG | July 24, 2015 | Barclays | The Markit “flash” manufacturing PMI unexpectedly fell to 48.2 in July, reaching a 15-month low (consensus: 49.7; Barclays: 49.7).  The weaker PMI supports our view that the economy is not on solid footing, and we look for a flat growth profile in H2.

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Spain in “solid recovery mode” (Barclays)

The Corner | July 23, 2015 | The Spanish economy grew by 0.9% q/q in Q1 15. Q2 data suggest that activity accelerated to 1.1% q/q, taking full-year 2015 growth to 3.3%, on Barclays estimates. “We think that the risks to the Spanish growth outlook are balanced, especially as the likelihood of Grexit has dropped,” the bank analysts commented on their July economic bulletin.

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